{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e5c29d30-a305-4064-b4cb-82c9cc8ded1e", "symbol": "CWH", "name": "Camping World Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.105, "architecture_energy": 59.905, "architecture_maturity": 26.596, "architecture_confidence": 90.892, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.06, "rotation_up": 12.74, "upward_expansion": 12.3, "deceleration": 39.47, "rotation_down": 65.26, "downward_expansion": 85.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.138, 6.497636, 6.836429, 7.184731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.32, "trend_reference": 8.234, "distance_from_trend": -0.232451, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.885861, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.625722, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.157827, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.535977, "excess_performance": -0.661601, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.232451, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137449, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.625722, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029618, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.471578, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021591, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.535977, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.498752, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10668817, "relative_activity": 0.801208, "balance": 0.498752, "dry_up": 0.966651, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.166199, "annualized_volatility": 0.860604, "from_high_reference": -0.648793, "from_low_reference": 0.152233 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.234, "fair_value_reference": 16.885861, "structural_low": 5.485, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.041611, "positive_rate": 0.586207, "directional_follow_through": 0.413793, "median_excess_return": -0.018596, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.368, "worst_return": -0.265926, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.011546, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": 0.002035, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.49362, "worst_return": -0.11899, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.023116, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.004445, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.309864, "worst_return": -0.282973, "sufficient": true }, { 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7.110476, 7.662581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.71, "volume": 12381442, "typical_volume": 13841305.7, "trend": 8.531667, "fair_value": 17.135577, "relative_strength": -51.758548, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.207842, "energy": 67.429049, "activity_lines": [ 6.266, 6.740909, 6.978857, 7.470925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.19, "volume": 15505878, "typical_volume": 13576923.4, "trend": 8.414333, "fair_value": 17.010812, "relative_strength": -47.394875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.693381, "energy": 67.454314, "activity_lines": [ 6.133333, 6.596, 6.90081, 7.319849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.32, "volume": 10668817, "typical_volume": 13315911.1, "trend": 8.234, "fair_value": 16.885861, "relative_strength": -47.157827, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.104775, "energy": 59.905117, "activity_lines": [ 6.138, 6.497636, 6.836429, 7.184731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }