{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e5c4bbba-a94e-48fb-ab70-8911552b59ba", "symbol": "C1HK34", "name": "Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.476, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.495, "architecture_energy": 14.173, "architecture_maturity": 45.614, "architecture_confidence": 63.316, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.05, "rotation_up": 17.73, "upward_expansion": 6.52, "deceleration": 66.91, "rotation_down": 36.91, "downward_expansion": 63.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.524778, 55.081273, 54.657238, 56.740971 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 52.318333, "trend_reference": 61.203666, "distance_from_trend": -0.145176, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 75.936346, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.311024, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.287212, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.346021, "excess_performance": -0.288972, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.145176, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144766, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.311024, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070217, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.312872, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.224327, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.346021, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.070312, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1506, "relative_activity": 0.554329, "balance": 1.070312, "dry_up": 1.4714, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.447502, "annualized_volatility": 0.525247, "from_high_reference": -0.838519, "from_low_reference": 0.118351 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.203666, "fair_value_reference": 75.936346, "structural_low": 46.781666, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"relative_strength": -30.401967, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.846209, "energy": 21.900206, "activity_lines": [ 56.813111, 55.914303, 55.231357, 57.982731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.998333, "volume": 5406, "typical_volume": 2657.7, "trend": 62.240277, "fair_value": 75.928109, "relative_strength": -32.27634, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.940189, "energy": 8.723986, "activity_lines": [ 56.034222, 55.658, 54.991246, 57.381096 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.318333, "volume": 1506, "typical_volume": 2716.8, "trend": 61.203666, "fair_value": 75.936346, "relative_strength": -31.287212, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.494667, "energy": 14.173176, "activity_lines": [ 54.524778, 55.081273, 54.657238, 56.740971 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }