{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e5d78fc5-c1b3-4cd3-8b27-c2a3c3d956aa",
    "symbol": "ENOR",
    "name": "ISHARES MSCI NORWAY ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 83.025,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 48.481,
    "architecture_energy": 39.089,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.063,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.191,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.93,
        "rotation_up": 66.48,
        "upward_expansion": 68.34,
        "deceleration": 65.07,
        "rotation_down": 9.07,
        "downward_expansion": 11.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.398667,
        33.635584,
        33.98929,
        33.935071
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 34.92,
    "trend_reference": 33.414118,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.045067,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 24.819705,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.406947,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.925345,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.116354,
    "excess_performance": -0.00927,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045067,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071477,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.406947,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.086758,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019253,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076972,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116354,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.678685,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 231226,
      "relative_activity": 0.444151,
      "balance": 1.678685,
      "dry_up": 0.29769,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035725,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.175813,
      "from_high_reference": -0.042265,
      "from_low_reference": 0.382121
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.414118,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.819705,
      "structural_low": 31.05,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.020758,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013132,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.061347,
        "worst_return": -0.020604,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.033213,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017279,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.262675,
        "worst_return": -0.006236,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.087891,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02682,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.359607,
        "worst_return": -0.13815,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.107226,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.05157,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.224646,
        "worst_return": -0.121529,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.003058,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.068415,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.051622,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039952,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.066866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031435,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012509,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.023069,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01397,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.054866,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.232694,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002156,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.051174,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 65449.85,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 461316.85,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 467590.85,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 31.468419,
        "fair_value": 24.034723,
        "relative_strength": 6.518866,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 34.377624,
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        "typical_volume": 512795.55,
        "trend": 31.73645,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -1.177036,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 31.14,
        "volume": 278909,
        "typical_volume": 525449.3,
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        "fair_value": 24.297137,
        "relative_strength": -2.889836,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -20.431772,
        "energy": 33.085291,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 32.0,
        "volume": 356409,
        "typical_volume": 535475.2,
        "trend": 32.325928,
        "fair_value": 24.380785,
        "relative_strength": -2.317264,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 35.649952,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.348474,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 32.4,
        "volume": 653602,
        "typical_volume": 563641.55,
        "trend": 32.519689,
        "fair_value": 24.460721,
        "relative_strength": -2.433682,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.452365,
        "energy": 51.25137,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.182508,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.22,
        "volume": 134042,
        "typical_volume": 561941.75,
        "trend": 32.730228,
        "fair_value": 24.542471,
        "relative_strength": 1.483304,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.851555,
        "energy": 51.054339,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.43,
          33.021936,
          33.822496,
          33.595127
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.3,
        "volume": 128352,
        "typical_volume": 554839.1,
        "trend": 32.950922,
        "fair_value": 24.632493,
        "relative_strength": 5.177918,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 13.323269,
        "energy": 14.630492,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.114667,
          33.133315,
          33.846524,
          33.696403
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.91,
        "volume": 126292,
        "typical_volume": 547239.75,
        "trend": 33.179725,
        "fair_value": 24.725379,
        "relative_strength": 5.656516,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.358922,
        "energy": 28.097839,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.880667,
          33.373349,
          33.922134,
          33.822795
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.92,
        "volume": 231226,
        "typical_volume": 520601.85,
        "trend": 33.414118,
        "fair_value": 24.819705,
        "relative_strength": 1.925345,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.481346,
        "energy": 39.089466,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.398667,
          33.635584,
          33.98929,
          33.935071
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}