{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e5dfc0b8-dda8-42fa-a758-a178b30a9e0b", "symbol": "ESGE", "name": "ISHARES ESG AWARE MSCI EM ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.586, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.589, "architecture_energy": 15.163, "architecture_maturity": 52.414, "architecture_confidence": 85.257, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.11, "rotation_up": 22.02, "upward_expansion": 47.25, "deceleration": 84.58, "rotation_down": 34.86, "downward_expansion": 27.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.832, 52.39815, 52.407271, 51.352116 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 52.68, "trend_reference": 50.054871, "distance_from_trend": 0.052445, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.110909, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.419529, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.23139, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.097619, "excess_performance": -0.089835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052445, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065165, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.419529, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11513, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.012314, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058224, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.097619, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.507532, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3728748, "relative_activity": 0.74704, "balance": 2.507532, "dry_up": 0.844083, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057129, "annualized_volatility": 0.28011, "from_high_reference": -0.07757, "from_low_reference": 0.348632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.054871, "fair_value_reference": 37.110909, "structural_low": 43.248929, "invalidation": "A 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.000758, "energy": 40.023188, "activity_lines": [ 53.745277, 53.601113, 52.091569, 50.835109 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 50.82, "volume": 2447374, "typical_volume": 5794693.05, "trend": 49.377881, "fair_value": 36.696583, "relative_strength": -0.538898, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.817071, "energy": 19.030897, "activity_lines": [ 52.644667, 53.127785, 52.131118, 50.944559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.93, "volume": 1924097, "typical_volume": 5368320.45, "trend": 49.61075, "fair_value": 36.823699, "relative_strength": 1.164364, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.265396, "energy": 19.575461, "activity_lines": [ 51.815333, 52.731943, 52.176105, 51.044695 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.52, "volume": 8752272, "typical_volume": 5187294.3, "trend": 49.824233, "fair_value": 36.961005, "relative_strength": 1.628382, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.511889, "energy": 17.434878, "activity_lines": [ 51.558667, 52.453911, 52.25177, 51.167873 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.68, "volume": 3728748, "typical_volume": 4991361.05, "trend": 50.054871, "fair_value": 37.110909, "relative_strength": -1.23139, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.589367, "energy": 15.162671, "activity_lines": [ 51.832, 52.39815, 52.407271, 51.352116 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }