{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e5eb7aa1-bd9d-4236-b290-1022ebf7c40c",
    "symbol": "LHA",
    "name": "Deutsche Lufthansa AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 64.148,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 35.724,
    "architecture_energy": 25.544,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.417,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.6,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.75,
        "rotation_up": 23.57,
        "upward_expansion": 56.69,
        "deceleration": 91.07,
        "rotation_down": 30.96,
        "downward_expansion": 20.36
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.863333,
        9.070255,
        8.724076,
        8.476657
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 8.65,
    "trend_reference": 8.295634,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.042717,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.806397,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.270863,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.44074,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.018707,
    "excess_performance": -0.192954,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042717,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048106,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.270863,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111207,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114407,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002798,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018707,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.728369,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 60873,
      "relative_activity": 2.038672,
      "balance": 0.728369,
      "dry_up": 1.620734,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.069853,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.39649,
      "from_high_reference": -0.151961,
      "from_low_reference": 0.315851
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.295634,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.806397,
      "structural_low": 6.717855,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.000858,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000829,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.129199,
        "worst_return": -0.049186,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.046093,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004491,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.252471,
        "worst_return": -0.206027,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.025914,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.108149,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.125989,
        "worst_return": -0.253437,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.182564,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.23408,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.505933,
        "worst_return": -0.277784,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.232791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.162405,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 85.582995,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 6.766755,
        "relative_strength": 1.997981,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 6.777411,
        "relative_strength": -1.303293,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.19792,
        "energy": 84.070722,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 9.002,
        "volume": 45640,
        "typical_volume": 35609.35,
        "trend": 8.245388,
        "fair_value": 6.785457,
        "relative_strength": -4.656867,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.855411,
        "energy": 76.864175,
        "activity_lines": [
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          8.552127,
          8.375387
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.716,
        "volume": 42098,
        "typical_volume": 29471.9,
        "trend": 8.266823,
        "fair_value": 6.79059,
        "relative_strength": -8.669325,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.160566,
        "energy": 48.795359,
        "activity_lines": [
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          8.60771,
          8.405749
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.008,
        "volume": 44964,
        "typical_volume": 28425.35,
        "trend": 8.292097,
        "fair_value": 6.800108,
        "relative_strength": -5.410956,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.984014,
        "energy": 31.523022,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.060933,
          9.144436,
          8.686824,
          8.453567
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.65,
        "volume": 60873,
        "typical_volume": 29859.15,
        "trend": 8.295634,
        "fair_value": 6.806397,
        "relative_strength": -11.44074,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.7238,
        "energy": 25.544308,
        "activity_lines": [
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          8.476657
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}