{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6019e1a-7683-4b77-92d8-a1d8182df2f9", "symbol": "SNYR", "name": "Synergy CHC Corp. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.207, "architecture_energy": 89.73, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.794, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.17, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 21.82, "deceleration": 37.06, "rotation_down": 63.14, "downward_expansion": 99.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.175653, 0.188358, 0.240915, 0.430331 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.1684, "trend_reference": 0.754907, "distance_from_trend": -0.776926, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.712795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.901681, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -89.917399, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.904859, "excess_performance": -1.092312, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.776926, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.438248, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.901681, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129807, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.899174, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05582, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.904859, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.211716, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1009612, "relative_activity": 0.083372, "balance": 5.211716, "dry_up": 0.079801, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.308332, "annualized_volatility": 1.024836, "from_high_reference": -0.957794, "from_low_reference": 0.045313 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.754907, "fair_value_reference": 1.712795, "structural_low": 0.1611, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.119652, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.090235, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 18.0, "worst_return": -0.557692, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.162069, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.332153, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 9.0, "worst_return": -0.825342, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.137931, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.411698, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 45.554622, "worst_return": -0.880841, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 5.666667, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 1.421429, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.415162, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.117241, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.160772, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.430079, 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"typical_volume": 11942808.35, "trend": 0.977547, "fair_value": 1.711354, "relative_strength": -89.77151, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.604847, "energy": 85.267032, "activity_lines": [ 0.21074, 0.223573, 0.360463, 0.615852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.1863, "volume": 665583, "typical_volume": 11965876.5, "trend": 0.922757, "fair_value": 1.711785, "relative_strength": -89.931224, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.3928, "energy": 89.704419, "activity_lines": [ 0.20234, 0.212585, 0.323175, 0.564804 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.1705, "volume": 1221570, "typical_volume": 12020694.65, "trend": 0.86644, "fair_value": 1.712115, "relative_strength": -90.176535, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.111908, "energy": 90.45658, "activity_lines": [ 0.18932, 0.202438, 0.290162, 0.516271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1756, "volume": 968708, "typical_volume": 12065143.0, "trend": 0.809627, "fair_value": 1.712478, "relative_strength": -89.472412, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.445236, "energy": 89.232885, "activity_lines": [ 0.182567, 0.195331, 0.263204, 0.471701 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1684, "volume": 1009612, "typical_volume": 12109717.6, "trend": 0.754907, "fair_value": 1.712795, "relative_strength": -89.917399, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.207223, "energy": 89.73032, "activity_lines": [ 0.175653, 0.188358, 0.240915, 0.430331 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }