{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6034ea2-d7fd-49c3-a220-cadde3a755b4", "symbol": "HMT", "name": "HMT Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.623, "architecture_energy": 19.177, "architecture_maturity": 65.24, "architecture_confidence": 86.254, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.08, "rotation_up": 22.14, "upward_expansion": 58.64, "deceleration": 91.09, "rotation_down": 33.73, "downward_expansion": 15.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.456666, 62.750727, 61.578904, 60.675785 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 60.310001, "trend_reference": 57.961, "distance_from_trend": 0.040527, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.311154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.016841, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.164186, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.396711, "excess_performance": 0.440421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.040527, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077008, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.016841, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063357, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.071642, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041929, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.396711, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.32856, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44543, "relative_activity": 1.080539, "balance": 0.32856, "dry_up": 0.938846, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066796, "annualized_volatility": 0.544636, "from_high_reference": -0.165952, "from_low_reference": 0.470976 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.961, "fair_value_reference": 59.311154, "structural_low": 42.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.037491, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.045417, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.478318, "worst_return": -0.232614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.175134, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.148804, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.374507, "worst_return": -0.129655, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.122625, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.138266, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.61, "worst_return": -0.379957, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 58.893654, "relative_strength": 13.129917, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.618814, "energy": 40.624782, "activity_lines": [ 63.834, 62.997091, 61.618809, 60.209226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.419998, "volume": 50443, "typical_volume": 44805.95, "trend": 57.486333, "fair_value": 59.106602, "relative_strength": 10.156368, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.691796, "energy": 20.697633, "activity_lines": [ 62.597999, 63.01709, 61.655857, 60.493613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.310001, "volume": 44543, "typical_volume": 41222.95, "trend": 57.961, "fair_value": 59.311154, "relative_strength": 7.164186, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.622504, "energy": 19.176944, "activity_lines": [ 61.456666, 62.750727, 61.578904, 60.675785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }