{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6114fb7-5729-4575-ae02-e697ccaf6bd2", "symbol": "ISRJ", "name": "Amundi Label ISR Actions Japon UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.777, "architecture_energy": 73.665, "architecture_maturity": 67.688, "architecture_confidence": 84.488, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.77, "rotation_up": 61.99, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.66, "rotation_down": 28.06, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.633867, 13.550309, 13.209952, 12.950391 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.898, "trend_reference": 12.6471, "distance_from_trend": 0.098908, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.226514, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.237962, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.547741, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.12653, "excess_performance": 0.073219, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098908, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059902, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.237962, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079695, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.085477, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024733, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.12653, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 12.315, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2061, "relative_activity": 1.777184, "balance": 12.315, "dry_up": 0.530525, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016073, "annualized_volatility": 0.172373, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.348273 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.6471, "fair_value_reference": 11.226514, "structural_low": 11.284, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.004869, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.006371, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.004869, "worst_return": 0.004869, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"relative_strength": 14.01795, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.04455, "energy": 96.793774, "activity_lines": [ 13.5192, 13.249127, 12.855962, 12.653598 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.62, "volume": 386, "typical_volume": 2945.3, "trend": 12.419567, "fair_value": 11.140629, "relative_strength": 12.347944, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.456499, "energy": 88.560671, "activity_lines": [ 13.6188, 13.352273, 12.954062, 12.736112 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.62, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2342.9, "trend": 12.4981, "fair_value": 11.170145, "relative_strength": 11.425227, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.285791, "energy": 88.440154, "activity_lines": [ 13.6616, 13.436582, 13.048333, 12.813559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.29, "volume": 14, "typical_volume": 1754.6, "trend": 12.569, "fair_value": 11.195085, "relative_strength": 6.671039, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.678891, "energy": 67.073878, "activity_lines": [ 13.5376, 13.443745, 13.103471, 12.864649 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.898, "volume": 2061, "typical_volume": 1159.7, "trend": 12.6471, "fair_value": 11.226514, "relative_strength": 8.547741, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.777111, "energy": 73.664964, "activity_lines": [ 13.633867, 13.550309, 13.209952, 12.950391 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }