{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e61ac8ba-937b-479f-b7dd-a04b8e24f83b", "symbol": "BHARTIARTL", "name": "Bharti Airtel Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 53.106, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 39.469, "architecture_energy": 50.102, "architecture_maturity": 4.936, "architecture_confidence": 59.331, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.55, "rotation_up": 67.88, "upward_expansion": 62.17, "deceleration": 19.3, "rotation_down": 18.25, "downward_expansion": 18.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 1936.585571, 1908.286297, 1882.501772, 1878.13118 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 1959.900024, "trend_reference": 1890.527087, "distance_from_trend": 0.036695, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1594.400321, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22924, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.774779, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.038511, "excess_performance": 0.005199, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036695, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035066, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.22924, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012737, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.017748, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040924, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.038511, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.06947, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 32037111, "relative_activity": 0.965469, "balance": 1.06947, "dry_up": 0.903417, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03946, "annualized_volatility": 0.190338, "from_high_reference": -0.098689, "from_low_reference": 0.126056 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1890.527087, "fair_value_reference": 1594.400321, "structural_low": 1740.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.045052, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.03607, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.055415, "worst_return": 0.0365, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.115769, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.067892, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.158719, "worst_return": 0.072819, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.115562, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.083203, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.195208, "worst_return": 0.035917, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.086097, "energy": 12.007782, "activity_lines": [ 1888.127238, 1871.672201, 1861.633318, 1868.977039 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1972.0, "volume": 29740973, "typical_volume": 33716481.05, "trend": 1892.767086, "fair_value": 1587.340373, "relative_strength": 3.276827, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.522403, "energy": 41.10234, "activity_lines": [ 1919.183138, 1891.993792, 1873.045162, 1873.800022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1959.900024, "volume": 32037111, "typical_volume": 33182958.3, "trend": 1890.527087, "fair_value": 1594.400321, "relative_strength": 1.774779, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.468614, "energy": 50.101873, "activity_lines": [ 1936.585571, 1908.286297, 1882.501772, 1878.13118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }