{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6224643-fb01-4e6d-a2ae-28c8c8187d1a", "symbol": "TER", "name": "Teradyne Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.251, "architecture_energy": 12.381, "architecture_maturity": 31.07, "architecture_confidence": 93.514, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.33, "rotation_up": 23.88, "upward_expansion": 41.83, "deceleration": 83.33, "rotation_down": 32.0, "downward_expansion": 31.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 361.425333, 370.667909, 371.973633, 360.11607 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 379.31, "trend_reference": 337.907011, "distance_from_trend": 0.122528, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 159.378413, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.379933, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 29.361396, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.26489, "excess_performance": 0.077437, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.122528, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.227627, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.379933, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.243521, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.293614, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.308183, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.26489, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.107175, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16393942, "relative_activity": 0.840475, "balance": 1.107175, "dry_up": 0.978004, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.170453, "annualized_volatility": 0.621398, "from_high_reference": -0.222582, "from_low_reference": 2.636068 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 337.907011, "fair_value_reference": 159.378413, "structural_low": 262.923293, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.014616, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004467, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.184201, "worst_return": -0.186131, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.051837, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.014309, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.566574, "worst_return": -0.315534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.260991, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.114071, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.23423, "worst_return": -0.433491, "sufficient": true }, { 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352.687281 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 349.92, "volume": 14118997, "typical_volume": 18796381.4, "trend": 327.156625, "fair_value": 155.915455, "relative_strength": 30.329542, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.9032, "energy": 18.931824, "activity_lines": [ 352.857333, 372.095182, 369.412257, 354.480993 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 367.69, "volume": 30251875, "typical_volume": 19455270.6, "trend": 332.499692, "fair_value": 157.591691, "relative_strength": 33.927537, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.298622, "energy": 17.799052, "activity_lines": [ 352.899, 370.409273, 370.333362, 357.09605 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 379.31, "volume": 16393942, "typical_volume": 19505568.1, "trend": 337.907011, "fair_value": 159.378413, "relative_strength": 29.361396, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.251018, "energy": 12.381127, "activity_lines": [ 361.425333, 370.667909, 371.973633, 360.11607 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }