{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6233e84-a5e8-4015-903d-7a77cc8744ad", "symbol": "XLFS", "name": "Invesco Financials S&P US Select Sector UCITS ETF", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.701, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.286, "architecture_energy": 94.948, "architecture_maturity": 13.736, "architecture_confidence": 67.622, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.47, "rotation_up": 88.21, "upward_expansion": 99.84, "deceleration": 39.05, "rotation_down": 8.52, "downward_expansion": 21.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 448.030003, 440.81273, 427.918575, 420.079465 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 453.649994, "trend_reference": 413.650001, "distance_from_trend": 0.0967, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 362.772115, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.25051, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.547942, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.083602, "excess_performance": 0.000719, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.0967, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009908, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.25051, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086417, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.015479, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027748, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.083602, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 45.75, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1939, "relative_activity": 2.372736, "balance": 45.75, "dry_up": 0.765724, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015549, "annualized_volatility": 0.12968, "from_high_reference": -0.004389, "from_low_reference": 0.198864 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 413.650001, "fair_value_reference": 362.772115, "structural_low": 378.399994, 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"energy": 97.392635, "activity_lines": [ 437.25, 427.828184, 417.271431, 413.137529 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 443.700012, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 790.0, "trend": 412.588334, "fair_value": 360.383653, "relative_strength": -2.60507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.948371, "energy": 93.211417, "activity_lines": [ 440.72667, 432.005458, 420.604051, 415.166454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 448.200012, "volume": 143, "typical_volume": 777.3, "trend": 413.110002, "fair_value": 361.548397, "relative_strength": -1.540291, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.36389, "energy": 93.934694, "activity_lines": [ 444.256673, 436.268187, 424.155005, 417.463982 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 453.649994, "volume": 1939, "typical_volume": 817.2, "trend": 413.650001, "fair_value": 362.772115, "relative_strength": -1.547942, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.286036, "energy": 94.948094, "activity_lines": [ 448.030003, 440.81273, 427.918575, 420.079465 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }