{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e623d703-6fdc-4f7b-a428-c5edb4745317",
    "symbol": "MKZ-UN",
    "name": "Mackenzie Master Limited Partnership",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.167,
    "architecture_energy": 19.633,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.343,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.325,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.84,
        "rotation_up": 44.07,
        "upward_expansion": 74.41,
        "deceleration": 59.5,
        "rotation_down": 21.8,
        "downward_expansion": 3.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.510667,
        0.507727,
        0.507643,
        0.503043
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.51,
    "trend_reference": 0.496167,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.02788,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.358807,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.421377,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.952783,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.085106,
    "excess_performance": -0.035315,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02788,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002721,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.421377,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.077536,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069528,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073876,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085106,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.218068,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9002,
      "relative_activity": 0.51002,
      "balance": 1.218068,
      "dry_up": 1.080619,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075415,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.274427,
      "from_high_reference": -0.12069,
      "from_low_reference": 0.364162
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.496167,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.358807,
      "structural_low": 0.43,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016567,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.157896,
        "worst_return": -0.083333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.036732,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.034428,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.052631,
        "worst_return": 0.020833,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.103619,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025174,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.144739,
        "worst_return": 0.0625,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.435961,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.117916,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.435961,
        "worst_return": 0.435961,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027859,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.140843,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.180327,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.014924,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.121212,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.021932,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.078948,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.062501,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.246374,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.050505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.084906,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.038462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051546,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 0.49,
        "volume": 1201,
        "typical_volume": 38949.8,
        "trend": 0.494081,
        "fair_value": 0.338981,
        "relative_strength": -2.748662,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.681283,
        "energy": 11.331583,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 38895.9,
        "trend": 0.494954,
        "fair_value": 0.340247,
        "relative_strength": 0.434809,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 21.871303,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 0.52,
        "volume": 25902,
        "typical_volume": 38479.8,
        "trend": 0.496454,
        "fair_value": 0.341422,
        "relative_strength": 2.969305,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 25.500106,
        "energy": 35.175474,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 3939,
        "typical_volume": 35602.75,
        "trend": 0.497114,
        "fair_value": 0.342816,
        "relative_strength": 2.749056,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.689017,
        "energy": 49.999677,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 35405.4,
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        "relative_strength": 3.602794,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.790126,
        "energy": 57.083052,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.485,
        "volume": 47328,
        "typical_volume": 34026.85,
        "trend": 0.496974,
        "fair_value": 0.345264,
        "relative_strength": -5.981522,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.169689,
        "energy": 33.46059,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 16506,
        "typical_volume": 29062.4,
        "trend": 0.497593,
        "fair_value": 0.346632,
        "relative_strength": -0.85088,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 38.947518,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 4005,
        "typical_volume": 27005.5,
        "trend": 0.497546,
        "fair_value": 0.348085,
        "relative_strength": -4.8124,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.782934,
        "energy": 19.639735,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.485,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 24713.7,
        "trend": 0.495533,
        "fair_value": 0.349383,
        "relative_strength": -7.719601,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.197135,
        "energy": 17.093079,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.499667,
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          0.501952,
          0.497226
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.51,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 23860.2,
        "trend": 0.49582,
        "fair_value": 0.350957,
        "relative_strength": -3.818664,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.546935,
        "energy": 16.659887,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.501,
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          0.49816
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.51,
        "volume": 10902,
        "typical_volume": 23569.85,
        "trend": 0.495227,
        "fair_value": 0.352492,
        "relative_strength": -4.031644,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.325229,
        "energy": 16.770173,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.504333,
          0.507545,
          0.504667,
          0.499074
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.51,
        "volume": 26194,
        "typical_volume": 24044.7,
        "trend": 0.494927,
        "fair_value": 0.354047,
        "relative_strength": -3.974542,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.002176,
        "energy": 14.956774,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.506,
          0.507364,
          0.505619,
          0.500028
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.5,
        "volume": 27188,
        "typical_volume": 19666.35,
        "trend": 0.494,
        "fair_value": 0.355634,
        "relative_strength": -6.144508,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.503301,
        "energy": 11.323464,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.505,
          0.505364,
          0.505429,
          0.500355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.52,
        "volume": 13909,
        "typical_volume": 17685.55,
        "trend": 0.494333,
        "fair_value": 0.357233,
        "relative_strength": -2.008036,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.656309,
        "energy": 22.640018,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.510667,
          0.507364,
          0.507071,
          0.502032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.51,
        "volume": 9002,
        "typical_volume": 17650.3,
        "trend": 0.496167,
        "fair_value": 0.358807,
        "relative_strength": -6.952783,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.16658,
        "energy": 19.633464,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.510667,
          0.507727,
          0.507643,
          0.503043
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}