{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e62be83b-b9f2-4242-9bc3-caabd0c4e101", "symbol": "1587", "name": "Cryomax Cooling System Corp.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.012, "architecture_energy": 65.362, "architecture_maturity": 79.77, "architecture_confidence": 93.528, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.76, "rotation_up": 27.01, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 56.67, "rotation_down": 59.93, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.313333, 24.920909, 26.684048, 28.909462 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 24.299999, "trend_reference": 32.793334, "distance_from_trend": -0.258996, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.515367, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.315789, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -53.871046, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.476857, "excess_performance": -0.822589, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.258996, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183399, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.315789, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130339, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.53871, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040901, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.476857, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.902936, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1000326, "relative_activity": 0.526369, "balance": 0.902936, "dry_up": 0.542285, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079456, "annualized_volatility": 0.362861, "from_high_reference": -0.588136, "from_low_reference": 0.056522 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.793334, "fair_value_reference": 35.515367, "structural_low": 23.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.020362, "positive_rate": 0.36, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.025589, "regime_survival": 0.84, "best_return": 0.2125, "worst_return": -0.171512, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.0023, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.061931, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.977925, "worst_return": -0.270349, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.089147, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.117321, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.459116, "worst_return": -0.370987, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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{ "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.35, "volume": 550552, "typical_volume": 1976896.25, "trend": 34.745, "fair_value": 35.481124, "relative_strength": -53.981492, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.426966, "energy": 69.415564, "activity_lines": [ 24.526667, 25.605455, 27.637857, 30.185699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 24.450001, "volume": 868178, "typical_volume": 1939580.8, "trend": 33.786667, "fair_value": 35.498577, "relative_strength": -54.820577, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.42837, "energy": 72.117861, "activity_lines": [ 24.373334, 25.223637, 27.142857, 29.521506 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 24.299999, "volume": 1000326, "typical_volume": 1900425.6, "trend": 32.793334, "fair_value": 35.515367, "relative_strength": -53.871046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.012465, "energy": 65.361854, "activity_lines": [ 24.313333, 24.920909, 26.684048, 28.909462 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }