{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e641e539-5d96-4413-9560-cb86c13b2592", "symbol": "OP5H", "name": "OSSIAM MSCI JAPAN NR 1C Hedged Index EUR", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.878, "architecture_energy": 52.257, "architecture_maturity": 86.863, "architecture_confidence": 73.021, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.09, "rotation_up": 49.52, "upward_expansion": 77.23, "deceleration": 68.66, "rotation_down": 28.8, "downward_expansion": 12.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 262.754561, 262.309739, 256.888561, 251.197906 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 267.270203, "trend_reference": 244.002461, "distance_from_trend": 0.095359, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 185.88021, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.437863, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.84318, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.201452, "excess_performance": 0.148141, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.095359, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068261, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.437863, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092252, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.098432, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02592, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.201452, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 126, "relative_activity": 1.205165, "balance": 3.0, "dry_up": 3.06791, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028072, "annualized_volatility": 0.219509, "from_high_reference": -0.01899, "from_low_reference": 0.444192 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 244.002461, "fair_value_reference": 185.88021, "structural_low": 226.893494, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.165606, "energy": 88.19013, "activity_lines": [ 253.512847, 249.099832, 242.571702, 238.193646 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 251.981201, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 34.65, "trend": 232.872372, "fair_value": 180.238101, "relative_strength": 11.392595, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.997807, "energy": 87.202852, "activity_lines": [ 253.235814, 250.322767, 243.865795, 239.517313 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 267.268494, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 34.65, "trend": 234.789959, "fair_value": 181.056767, "relative_strength": 17.923234, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.320503, "energy": 84.061025, "activity_lines": [ 257.915666, 253.895232, 246.475225, 241.736417 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 265.874786, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 34.05, "trend": 236.546052, "fair_value": 181.882581, "relative_strength": 14.967968, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.320063, "energy": 73.521443, "activity_lines": [ 260.972915, 256.791978, 248.738527, 243.74189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 267.34259, "volume": 211, "typical_volume": 43.6, "trend": 238.351071, "fair_value": 182.724261, "relative_strength": 17.196314, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.733284, "energy": 71.696529, "activity_lines": [ 263.864079, 259.48213, 251.018615, 245.728763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 258.546509, "volume": 232, "typical_volume": 53.2, "trend": 239.745968, "fair_value": 183.496763, "relative_strength": 12.710321, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.337973, "energy": 66.752919, "activity_lines": [ 263.08303, 260.072837, 252.329533, 247.031695 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 263.729797, "volume": 773, "typical_volume": 90.65, "trend": 241.313641, "fair_value": 184.287543, "relative_strength": 13.833176, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.389205, "energy": 65.502905, "activity_lines": [ 263.592057, 261.204163, 254.069808, 248.579039 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 257.335602, "volume": 152, "typical_volume": 98.25, "trend": 242.699715, "fair_value": 185.057225, "relative_strength": 8.818853, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.176553, "energy": 53.389143, "activity_lines": [ 261.186446, 260.92142, 255.078589, 249.612713 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 267.270203, "volume": 126, "typical_volume": 104.55, "trend": 244.002461, "fair_value": 185.88021, "relative_strength": 9.84318, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.877567, "energy": 52.257126, "activity_lines": [ 262.754561, 262.309739, 256.888561, 251.197906 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }