{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e647f62d-b7fe-4fbe-bc58-e613db4461ea", "symbol": "IBCP", "name": "Independent Bank Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.864, "architecture_energy": 67.749, "architecture_maturity": 19.576, "architecture_confidence": 77.82, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.74, "rotation_up": 74.41, "upward_expansion": 92.26, "deceleration": 40.16, "rotation_down": 11.79, "downward_expansion": 14.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.461512, 36.722812, 35.676375, 35.158483 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 38.03, "trend_reference": 34.740306, "distance_from_trend": 0.094694, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.103423, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.306719, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.155524, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.047877, "excess_performance": -0.139577, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094694, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039955, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.306719, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051911, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.001555, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10724, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.047877, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.737103, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1028252, "relative_activity": 1.155171, "balance": 2.737103, "dry_up": 1.293152, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054622, "annualized_volatility": 0.212802, "from_high_reference": -0.02898, "from_low_reference": 0.299121 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.740306, "fair_value_reference": 29.103423, "structural_low": 31.483193, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.000812, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": 0.008923, "regime_survival": 0.695652, "best_return": 0.131664, "worst_return": -0.108006, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.017283, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.015091, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.242107, "worst_return": -0.167397, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.052581, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.06365, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.446578, "worst_return": -0.217155, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 35.821641, 35.39925, 34.696517, 34.497196 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.387736, "volume": 1195131, "typical_volume": 909686.45, "trend": 34.347751, "fair_value": 28.857425, "relative_strength": 3.841204, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.605902, "energy": 54.828633, "activity_lines": [ 36.411765, 35.849987, 35.004496, 34.703641 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.923832, "volume": 1085303, "typical_volume": 925388.5, "trend": 34.556035, "fair_value": 28.978566, "relative_strength": 4.663517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.791038, "energy": 61.948312, "activity_lines": [ 36.975405, 36.313328, 35.347126, 34.934356 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.03, "volume": 1028252, "typical_volume": 890129.6, "trend": 34.740306, "fair_value": 29.103423, "relative_strength": -0.155524, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.864416, "energy": 67.748711, "activity_lines": [ 37.461512, 36.722812, 35.676375, 35.158483 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }