{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e65d06d0-78ac-4d7b-94b9-c28dc9389abf", "symbol": "BCY", "name": "Powermatic Data Systems Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.984, "architecture_energy": 29.603, "architecture_maturity": 66.145, "architecture_confidence": 64.426, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.65, "rotation_up": 16.83, "upward_expansion": 18.01, "deceleration": 67.88, "rotation_down": 61.77, "downward_expansion": 40.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.330667, 3.406909, 3.424048, 3.39286 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.3, "trend_reference": 3.356667, "distance_from_trend": -0.016882, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.901108, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.137497, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.137983, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.01227, "excess_performance": -0.142565, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.016882, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038158, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.137497, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093729, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.12138, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212207, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.01227, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.388449, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 92200, "relative_activity": 2.159251, "balance": 1.388449, "dry_up": 1.352459, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041958, "annualized_volatility": 0.210454, "from_high_reference": -0.108108, "from_low_reference": 0.42161 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.356667, "fair_value_reference": 2.901108, "structural_low": 3.05, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.002605, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": -0.006178, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.077612, "worst_return": -0.19244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.038895, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.002943, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.152318, "worst_return": -0.050818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.071253, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.006369, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.139318, "worst_return": -0.161194, "sufficient": true 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"typical_volume": 35820.0, "trend": 3.349, "fair_value": 2.8929, "relative_strength": -7.778066, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.872246, "energy": 17.497818, "activity_lines": [ 3.461333, 3.484, 3.447095, 3.404043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.23, "volume": 87200, "typical_volume": 38955.0, "trend": 3.354333, "fair_value": 2.896494, "relative_strength": -12.905782, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.664381, "energy": 16.405121, "activity_lines": [ 3.372, 3.437273, 3.432143, 3.396366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.3, "volume": 92200, "typical_volume": 42700.0, "trend": 3.356667, "fair_value": 2.901108, "relative_strength": -12.137983, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.984481, "energy": 29.602673, "activity_lines": [ 3.330667, 3.406909, 3.424048, 3.39286 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }