{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6794214-062c-46a8-8592-6ab618822ef7", "symbol": "SYMC", "name": "Symphony Communication Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.551, "architecture_energy": 64.253, "architecture_maturity": 46.066, "architecture_confidence": 87.428, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.66, "rotation_up": 69.65, "upward_expansion": 87.22, "deceleration": 53.9, "rotation_down": 17.02, "downward_expansion": 11.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.693333, 5.501091, 5.15881, 4.828177 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 5.55, "trend_reference": 4.403979, "distance_from_trend": 0.260224, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.973482, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.070894, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.218589, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.556676, "excess_performance": 0.364351, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.260224, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.151834, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.070894, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.212909, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.152186, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.210995, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.556676, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 29.398056, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 237100, "relative_activity": 0.303529, "balance": 29.398056, "dry_up": 0.879062, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073597, "annualized_volatility": 0.379923, "from_high_reference": -0.090164, "from_low_reference": 0.899145 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.403979, "fair_value_reference": 5.973482, "structural_low": 3.448393, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.018868, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.014239, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.17284, "worst_return": -0.173184, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.051332, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.034257, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.442623, "worst_return": -0.278947, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.068421, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.090151, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.344262, "worst_return": -0.072679, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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4.107943, "fair_value": 5.971791, "relative_strength": 18.433143, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.08391, "energy": 70.477965, "activity_lines": [ 5.204, 5.090545, 4.711731, 4.442437 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.75, "volume": 1586500, "typical_volume": 828600.0, "trend": 4.178169, "fair_value": 5.973569, "relative_strength": 18.058016, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.123591, "energy": 70.011902, "activity_lines": [ 5.420667, 5.234909, 4.840885, 4.548377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.75, "volume": 634100, "typical_volume": 806670.0, "trend": 4.254239, "fair_value": 5.974752, "relative_strength": 17.582668, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.32367, "energy": 73.715272, "activity_lines": [ 5.578, 5.352909, 4.962048, 4.649785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.8, "volume": 289000, "typical_volume": 775765.0, "trend": 4.330678, "fair_value": 5.976256, "relative_strength": 19.744231, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.101857, "energy": 80.015653, "activity_lines": [ 5.708667, 5.456545, 5.077476, 4.749511 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.55, "volume": 237100, "typical_volume": 781145.0, "trend": 4.403979, "fair_value": 5.973482, "relative_strength": 15.218589, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.551367, "energy": 64.252707, "activity_lines": [ 5.693333, 5.501091, 5.15881, 4.828177 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }