{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6878eb6-a582-42fc-9627-5269d3b598a5", "symbol": "SRT3", "name": "Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 60.418, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 19.506, "architecture_energy": 9.74, "architecture_maturity": 24.165, "architecture_confidence": 49.688, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.52, "rotation_up": 37.6, "upward_expansion": 41.86, "deceleration": 36.0, "rotation_down": 34.04, "downward_expansion": 16.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 229.893332, 229.579999, 228.335239, 226.722687 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 233.199997, "trend_reference": 228.011514, "distance_from_trend": 0.022755, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 249.254285, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.064409, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.18863, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.02619, "excess_performance": -0.200437, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022755, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016825, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.064409, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101025, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.161886, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015588, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.02619, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.469774, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 221, "relative_activity": 1.827201, "balance": 0.469774, "dry_up": 2.647788, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072503, "annualized_volatility": 0.413053, "from_high_reference": -0.122585, "from_low_reference": 0.280123 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 228.011514, "fair_value_reference": 249.254285, "structural_low": 199.061521, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.029282, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.040904, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.246354, "worst_return": -0.192826, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.134814, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.136641, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.128964, "worst_return": -0.230034, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.107534, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.192296, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.048931, "worst_return": -0.128269, "sufficient": false }, { 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"energy": 3.98618, "activity_lines": [ 229.699999, 229.658183, 225.861672, 226.69553 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 244.199997, "volume": 135, "typical_volume": 63.7, "trend": 230.604611, "fair_value": 251.855242, "relative_strength": -8.976546, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.116257, "energy": 30.79, "activity_lines": [ 235.379998, 232.692727, 227.868403, 227.582177 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 219.100006, "volume": 845, "typical_volume": 105.95, "trend": 229.762782, "fair_value": 250.930931, "relative_strength": -19.195022, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.93124, "energy": 18.093777, "activity_lines": [ 231.72, 230.634546, 227.456922, 226.839944 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 223.699997, "volume": 80, "typical_volume": 109.95, "trend": 228.9547, "fair_value": 250.050722, "relative_strength": -17.300027, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.137839, "energy": 11.467034, "activity_lines": [ 229.206666, 229.152727, 227.478042, 226.448797 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 233.199997, "volume": 221, "typical_volume": 120.95, "trend": 228.011514, "fair_value": 249.254285, "relative_strength": -16.18863, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.505902, "energy": 9.739625, "activity_lines": [ 229.893332, 229.579999, 228.335239, 226.722687 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }