{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e68a82ee-6086-47e9-92c7-87cc5f3f81f3",
    "symbol": "000680",
    "name": "Shantui Construction Machinery Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 73.035,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -23.749,
    "architecture_energy": 17.569,
    "architecture_maturity": 62.532,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.4,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.79,
        "rotation_up": 35.48,
        "upward_expansion": 22.9,
        "deceleration": 40.97,
        "rotation_down": 21.31,
        "downward_expansion": 54.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.828667,
        10.550763,
        10.747766,
        11.039705
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 11.19,
    "trend_reference": 11.484807,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.025669,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 8.724571,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.282585,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.41746,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.098308,
    "excess_performance": -0.105708,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025669,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01683,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.282585,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.167405,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024175,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063707,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.098308,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.445533,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 100070573,
      "relative_activity": 1.059737,
      "balance": 0.445533,
      "dry_up": 1.230942,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.073629,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.346445,
      "from_high_reference": -0.186182,
      "from_low_reference": 0.210025
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.484807,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.724571,
      "structural_low": 9.68,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.050383,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026751,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.072687,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 5.4e-05,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.318498,
        "worst_return": -0.033543,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.123837,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03091,
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        "worst_return": 0.010965,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": 0.142701,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 92439686.95,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -69.095267,
        "energy": 64.659425,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.47,
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        "typical_volume": 94811156.2,
        "trend": 11.517474,
        "fair_value": 8.648311,
        "relative_strength": -5.538751,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.575387,
        "energy": 41.046458,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.33,
        "volume": 133924057,
        "typical_volume": 96120441.05,
        "trend": 11.510807,
        "fair_value": 8.686579,
        "relative_strength": 3.844189,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.090214,
        "energy": 21.037438,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.19,
        "volume": 100070573,
        "typical_volume": 94429593.95,
        "trend": 11.484807,
        "fair_value": 8.724571,
        "relative_strength": -2.41746,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.748565,
        "energy": 17.569215,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}