{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e68dba5d-b740-426d-a0f4-90552da332f1",
    "symbol": "MTCH",
    "name": "Match Group Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.838,
    "architecture_energy": 42.75,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.407,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.048,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.84,
        "rotation_up": 54.99,
        "upward_expansion": 78.81,
        "deceleration": 62.81,
        "rotation_down": 20.26,
        "downward_expansion": 5.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        35.828238
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 37.26,
    "trend_reference": 34.290716,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.086591,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.280169,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.119586,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.347886,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.185377,
    "excess_performance": -0.002077,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086591,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048169,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119586,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018293,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043479,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016773,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185377,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.107245,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24440736,
      "relative_activity": 1.478412,
      "balance": 2.107245,
      "dry_up": 0.92692,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.066664,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.290247,
      "from_high_reference": -0.1,
      "from_low_reference": 0.301404
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 33.280169,
      "structural_low": 29.366002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.05719,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
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        "worst_return": -0.214895,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.315852,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.564633,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -1.25729,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 21184914.85,
        "trend": 33.655731,
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        "relative_strength": 3.850456,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.390967,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.91,
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        "typical_volume": 20682978.05,
        "trend": 33.847706,
        "fair_value": 33.338104,
        "relative_strength": 2.3659,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 61.724621,
        "energy": 68.913912,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.41,
        "volume": 10684182,
        "typical_volume": 20063960.75,
        "trend": 34.116029,
        "fair_value": 33.319524,
        "relative_strength": 5.930423,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.993905,
        "energy": 69.73831,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.26,
        "volume": 24440736,
        "typical_volume": 16531748.9,
        "trend": 34.290716,
        "fair_value": 33.280169,
        "relative_strength": -4.347886,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.838454,
        "energy": 42.750394,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}