{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e6986ef1-0afe-4acc-97f1-e35f4cb0f117",
    "symbol": "ABB",
    "name": "ABB Ltd",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.809,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 26.67,
    "architecture_energy": 25.808,
    "architecture_maturity": 65.578,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.114,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.44,
        "rotation_up": 21.14,
        "upward_expansion": 55.24,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 35.89,
        "downward_expansion": 18.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        951.786662,
        973.405453,
        970.849047,
        937.181149
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 959.599976,
    "trend_reference": 886.694995,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.082221,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 617.651462,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.553627,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 8.024648,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.233354,
    "excess_performance": 0.17186,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082221,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130474,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.553627,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.157203,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080246,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.19984,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.233354,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.922489,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2138286,
      "relative_activity": 1.148524,
      "balance": 0.922489,
      "dry_up": 1.309414,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052666,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.280953,
      "from_high_reference": -0.085224,
      "from_low_reference": 0.550651
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 886.694995,
      "fair_value_reference": 617.651462,
      "structural_low": 733.400024,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.006812,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001892,
        "regime_survival": 0.466667,
        "best_return": 0.190575,
        "worst_return": -0.062768,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.112944,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.072544,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.36553,
        "worst_return": -0.066582,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.126765,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.094348,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.452331,
        "worst_return": -0.094485,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.142118,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.171085,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.278895,
        "worst_return": -0.043032,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.370178,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.099306,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.009622,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.070325,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046329,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.148998,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008223,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.090587,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 1881656.4,
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        "fair_value": 614.165338,
        "relative_strength": 7.701088,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 26.6404,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 959.599976,
        "volume": 2138286,
        "typical_volume": 1861768.8,
        "trend": 886.694995,
        "fair_value": 617.651462,
        "relative_strength": 8.024648,
        "stage": 2,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}