{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e698db2b-e1f8-46e2-bd0c-b0ee94a41d68", "symbol": "002663", "name": "Pubang Landscape Architecture Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.404, "architecture_energy": 51.096, "architecture_maturity": 64.244, "architecture_confidence": 72.448, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.03, "rotation_up": 25.87, "upward_expansion": 20.37, "deceleration": 65.69, "rotation_down": 50.38, "downward_expansion": 72.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.524, 1.523273, 1.711571, 1.840495 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.58, "trend_reference": 1.964667, "distance_from_trend": -0.195792, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.828654, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.135976, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.425401, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.229268, "excess_performance": -0.236668, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.195792, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092253, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.135976, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.443891, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.244254, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.202839, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.229268, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.24836, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 180787202, "relative_activity": 0.844184, "balance": 0.24836, "dry_up": 0.902946, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111003, "annualized_volatility": 0.490383, "from_high_reference": -0.380392, "from_low_reference": 0.161765 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.964667, "fair_value_reference": 1.828654, "structural_low": 1.36, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.017358, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": 0.025657, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.122905, "worst_return": -0.153846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.066596, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.001281, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.286822, "worst_return": -0.145695, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.083799, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.04902, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.433071, "worst_return": -0.302198, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-17", "close": 1.48, "volume": 219569785, "typical_volume": 220528428.55, "trend": 2.008333, "fair_value": 1.836218, "relative_strength": -27.712941, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.738452, "energy": 86.875884, "activity_lines": [ 1.488, 1.599455, 1.833524, 1.930968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.45, "volume": 198991863, "typical_volume": 217863068.25, "trend": 1.989, "fair_value": 1.83359, "relative_strength": -28.955953, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.754773, "energy": 81.872883, "activity_lines": [ 1.472, 1.547273, 1.78181, 1.894946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.54, "volume": 174137297, "typical_volume": 216615802.8, "trend": 1.975, "fair_value": 1.83141, "relative_strength": -22.918071, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.459273, "energy": 60.302858, "activity_lines": [ 1.494, 1.526182, 1.742952, 1.865978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.58, "volume": 180787202, "typical_volume": 214156218.85, "trend": 1.964667, "fair_value": 1.828654, "relative_strength": -24.425401, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.404272, "energy": 51.095826, "activity_lines": [ 1.524, 1.523273, 1.711571, 1.840495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }