{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e69c0b85-9e91-464b-8fde-78c52ace2e37",
    "symbol": "WSRD",
    "name": "Wealthsimple Developed Markets ex North America Socially Responsible Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 61.468,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.688,
    "architecture_energy": 62.901,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.843,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.762,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.65,
        "rotation_up": 66.23,
        "upward_expansion": 85.11,
        "deceleration": 48.84,
        "rotation_down": 14.54,
        "downward_expansion": 11.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        35.014667,
        34.771852,
        34.2416,
        34.042906
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 35.639999,
    "trend_reference": 34.006331,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04804,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.027058,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.186929,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.593345,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.021584,
    "excess_performance": -0.098837,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04804,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004783,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186929,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052214,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065933,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051756,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021584,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.683962,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 18400,
      "relative_activity": 0.579163,
      "balance": 1.683962,
      "dry_up": 1.100881,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023367,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.174372,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003356,
      "from_low_reference": 0.126387
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 34.006331,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.027058,
      "structural_low": 31.641001,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.030054,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007159,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.051251,
        "worst_return": -0.000929,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.077422,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.038097,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.090352,
        "worst_return": 0.064492,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.115858,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.063799,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.14121,
        "worst_return": 0.090507,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.107595,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008045,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.128687,
        "worst_return": 0.086503,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025428,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 3.2e-05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023491,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.019706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0662,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.016692,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.029096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
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        "return": 0.056945,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.028142,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "activity_lines": [
          33.795401,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 33.118473,
        "volume": 26000,
        "typical_volume": 29650.0,
        "trend": 33.978039,
        "fair_value": 29.162543,
        "relative_strength": -12.353481,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 23.095865,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 32.773075,
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        "typical_volume": 33360.0,
        "trend": 33.937816,
        "fair_value": 29.207665,
        "relative_strength": -12.816061,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -42.277028,
        "energy": 23.074592,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 33.197418,
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        "typical_volume": 32895.0,
        "trend": 33.943805,
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        "relative_strength": -11.768907,
        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": -36.575678,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 33400,
        "typical_volume": 34210.0,
        "trend": 33.895033,
        "fair_value": 29.299989,
        "relative_strength": -12.596619,
        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": -59.854117,
        "energy": 46.75391,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 36005.0,
        "trend": 33.860336,
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        "relative_strength": -11.62588,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.519664,
        "energy": 37.145967,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 33.473732,
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        "typical_volume": 35895.0,
        "trend": 33.844459,
        "fair_value": 29.407557,
        "relative_strength": -11.595493,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.190315,
        "energy": 25.333308,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 32.940842,
        "volume": 12200,
        "typical_volume": 35610.0,
        "trend": 33.824375,
        "fair_value": 29.460127,
        "relative_strength": -11.705696,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.374684,
        "energy": 27.396427,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.117813,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 33.977024,
        "volume": 6300,
        "typical_volume": 33660.0,
        "trend": 33.822299,
        "fair_value": 29.517016,
        "relative_strength": -9.946644,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.107833,
        "energy": 12.736682,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 5000,
        "typical_volume": 32840.0,
        "trend": 33.864093,
        "fair_value": 29.584159,
        "relative_strength": -8.113026,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 12.465193,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 34.049999,
        "volume": 5700,
        "typical_volume": 29810.0,
        "trend": 33.866103,
        "fair_value": 29.645321,
        "relative_strength": -9.156151,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.18618,
        "energy": 20.978683,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.990165,
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          33.510929,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 35.029999,
        "volume": 3400,
        "typical_volume": 29025.0,
        "trend": 33.909705,
        "fair_value": 29.714632,
        "relative_strength": -6.9331,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.630454,
        "energy": 47.055396,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.398792,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 34.709999,
        "volume": 33400,
        "typical_volume": 30285.0,
        "trend": 33.937683,
        "fair_value": 29.775028,
        "relative_strength": -7.586722,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.072803,
        "energy": 52.242192,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.597001,
          34.135496,
          33.749859,
          33.803045
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 34.48,
        "volume": 25000,
        "typical_volume": 30800.0,
        "trend": 33.946422,
        "fair_value": 29.83443,
        "relative_strength": -7.768106,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 23.601665,
        "energy": 46.47,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.600599,
          34.263124,
          33.835252,
          33.838034
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.330002,
        "volume": 17500,
        "typical_volume": 29885.0,
        "trend": 33.954822,
        "fair_value": 29.892269,
        "relative_strength": -8.071566,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.094626,
        "energy": 44.956075,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.520667,
          34.34016,
          33.911341,
          33.862781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.09,
        "volume": 79000,
        "typical_volume": 32155.0,
        "trend": 33.983229,
        "fair_value": 29.957931,
        "relative_strength": -5.35009,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.613823,
        "energy": 39.752914,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.710667,
          34.522045,
          34.055615,
          33.936018
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.639999,
        "volume": 18400,
        "typical_volume": 31770.0,
        "trend": 34.006331,
        "fair_value": 30.027058,
        "relative_strength": -6.593345,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.687983,
        "energy": 62.900679,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.014667,
          34.771852,
          34.2416,
          34.042906
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}