{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e69db8f0-d428-4d93-a979-7be0e10440ee", "symbol": "KHAITANLTD", "name": "Khaitan (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.623, "architecture_energy": 53.097, "architecture_maturity": 27.29, "architecture_confidence": 89.535, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.98, "rotation_up": 51.41, "upward_expansion": 76.83, "deceleration": 58.08, "rotation_down": 21.63, "downward_expansion": 8.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 137.948668, 134.937637, 132.337143, 125.906925 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 156.240005, "trend_reference": 116.959666, "distance_from_trend": 0.335845, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 93.565384, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.669848, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 35.900437, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.503754, "excess_performance": 0.547463, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.335845, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093793, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.669848, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.15788, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.359004, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.15984, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.503754, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.195826, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 175105, "relative_activity": 4.898316, "balance": 9.195826, "dry_up": 1.346131, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078489, "annualized_volatility": 0.533711, "from_high_reference": -0.037931, "from_low_reference": 0.838118 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 116.959666, "fair_value_reference": 93.565384, "structural_low": 85.050003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.047872, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": 0.059443, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.827189, "worst_return": -0.139574, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.138598, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.101303, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.357143, "worst_return": -0.056324, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.051398, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.033546, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.624424, "worst_return": -0.247048, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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132.564363, 125.94638, 119.090817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 131.0, "volume": 4488, "typical_volume": 28462.5, "trend": 112.403333, "fair_value": 91.515769, "relative_strength": 17.100043, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.342087, "energy": 32.565041, "activity_lines": [ 132.490667, 132.430909, 127.228952, 120.360795 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 126.269997, "volume": 6483, "typical_volume": 28415.25, "trend": 113.248, "fair_value": 91.996666, "relative_strength": 12.217586, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.410682, "energy": 27.376098, "activity_lines": [ 130.562665, 131.314726, 127.886142, 121.255419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 128.830002, "volume": 7300, "typical_volume": 28391.9, "trend": 114.187, "fair_value": 92.472179, "relative_strength": 16.982054, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.172851, "energy": 23.090953, "activity_lines": [ 129.91, 130.753454, 128.636095, 122.260709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 129.5, "volume": 3598, "typical_volume": 27349.0, "trend": 115.036666, "fair_value": 92.924743, "relative_strength": 14.356948, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.78911, "energy": 19.512907, "activity_lines": [ 129.175333, 130.391818, 129.292714, 123.248645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 156.240005, "volume": 175105, "typical_volume": 35748.0, "trend": 116.959666, "fair_value": 93.565384, "relative_strength": 35.900437, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.6226, "energy": 53.096828, "activity_lines": [ 137.948668, 134.937637, 132.337143, 125.906925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }