{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6a4beeb-c610-4f7e-a980-62e51e8c1eb4", "symbol": "KITEX", "name": "Kitex Garments Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.852, "architecture_energy": 70.938, "architecture_maturity": 49.297, "architecture_confidence": 87.773, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.17, "rotation_up": 10.97, "upward_expansion": 15.75, "deceleration": 37.49, "rotation_down": 72.98, "downward_expansion": 91.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 146.944003, 151.056548, 155.428383, 158.930604 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 144.850006, "trend_reference": 163.896001, "distance_from_trend": -0.116208, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 154.474659, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.062306, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.409455, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.306473, "excess_performance": -0.262764, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.116208, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077927, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.062306, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.230637, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.174095, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040757, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.306473, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.513116, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1638433, "relative_activity": 0.701008, "balance": 0.513116, "dry_up": 0.716296, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06747, "annualized_volatility": 0.363737, "from_high_reference": -0.377525, "from_low_reference": 0.048119 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 163.896001, "fair_value_reference": 154.474659, "structural_low": 141.660004, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.017996, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.02118, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.114853, "worst_return": -0.117091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.0568, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.063807, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.517788, "worst_return": -0.15472, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.06296, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.066782, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.86095, "worst_return": -0.226911, "sufficient": false }, { 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-56.296886, "energy": 28.605129, "activity_lines": [ 157.693336, 158.47691, 160.539049, 163.817786 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 150.520004, "volume": 1962699, "typical_volume": 2686672.15, "trend": 166.659668, "fair_value": 152.854494, "relative_strength": -15.208205, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.076471, "energy": 41.595843, "activity_lines": [ 155.594003, 156.816547, 159.397287, 162.694367 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 147.039993, "volume": 1736966, "typical_volume": 2526506.7, "trend": 165.444001, "fair_value": 153.39551, "relative_strength": -14.225801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.182081, "energy": 62.678465, "activity_lines": [ 151.968, 154.897273, 158.072668, 161.428582 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 146.100006, "volume": 1358563, "typical_volume": 2398220.05, "trend": 164.224668, "fair_value": 153.933769, "relative_strength": -16.308542, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.237993, "energy": 68.314548, "activity_lines": [ 149.120002, 152.983638, 156.764811, 160.180582 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 144.850006, "volume": 1638433, "typical_volume": 2337253.95, "trend": 163.896001, "fair_value": 154.474659, "relative_strength": -17.409455, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.852374, "energy": 70.93789, "activity_lines": [ 146.944003, 151.056548, 155.428383, 158.930604 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }