{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e6ba427a-5edf-4bf0-8ab1-d94292c96605",
    "symbol": "BDRY",
    "name": "AMPLIFY COMMODITY TRUST BREAKWAVE DRY BULK SHIPPING ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.188,
    "architecture_energy": 65.87,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.335,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.819,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.21,
        "rotation_up": 73.6,
        "upward_expansion": 90.81,
        "deceleration": 41.42,
        "rotation_down": 13.2,
        "downward_expansion": 12.81
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.226667,
        12.788727,
        12.499557,
        12.124596
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 13.76,
    "trend_reference": 11.669033,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.179189,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.23555,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.489895,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 20.131834,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.292019,
    "excess_performance": 0.166394,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179189,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122918,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.489895,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091622,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.201318,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049155,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.292019,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.667127,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 185252,
      "relative_activity": 0.526493,
      "balance": 0.667127,
      "dry_up": 0.514658,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.07416,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.383739,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028249,
      "from_low_reference": 0.85695
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.669033,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.23555,
      "structural_low": 9.5,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.025017,
        "positive_rate": 0.52381,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52381,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003704,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.441361,
        "worst_return": -0.358924,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.136626,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0657,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.935632,
        "worst_return": -0.489297,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.16392,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.0786,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.397554,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.562646,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.097484,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001689,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 631521.6,
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        "fair_value": 9.076768,
        "relative_strength": 17.566661,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 31.880872,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 466689.5,
        "trend": 11.340033,
        "fair_value": 9.126832,
        "relative_strength": 16.543367,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 13.42,
        "volume": 82317,
        "typical_volume": 370254.5,
        "trend": 11.505367,
        "fair_value": 9.181512,
        "relative_strength": 22.13646,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.649805,
        "energy": 55.904629,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.894,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.76,
        "volume": 185252,
        "typical_volume": 351860.15,
        "trend": 11.669033,
        "fair_value": 9.23555,
        "relative_strength": 20.131834,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.187751,
        "energy": 65.869602,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}