{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6c934dd-cb97-40ca-8312-d2505c61df26", "symbol": "LVLU", "name": "Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 44.9, "architecture_energy": 71.505, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.707, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.95, "rotation_up": 76.7, "upward_expansion": 56.87, "deceleration": 19.56, "rotation_down": 14.01, "downward_expansion": 29.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.51424, 13.503575, 11.574941, 11.703965 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 18.26, "trend_reference": 12.70332, "distance_from_trend": 0.43742, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.785281, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.087858, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 70.748728, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.187454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.43742, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.192755, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.087858, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.554036, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.707487, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.625992, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.836769, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 152548, "relative_activity": 1.213119, "balance": 2.836769, "dry_up": 2.595273, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.145821, "annualized_volatility": 1.129927, "from_high_reference": -0.435007, "from_low_reference": 4.566903 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.70332, "fair_value_reference": 16.785281, "structural_low": 6.75, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-01", "end": "2024-03-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.357678, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.119497, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.331429, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.266473, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.703086, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.085884, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 1.842686, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.26139, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.130556, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", 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11.497747, "fair_value": 17.133216, "relative_strength": 31.766753, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.654603, "energy": 14.211399, "activity_lines": [ 9.735467, 9.105164, 9.452848, 10.546058 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.2, "volume": 282601, "typical_volume": 129898.3, "trend": 11.95658, "fair_value": 17.019754, "relative_strength": 98.908436, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.303701, "energy": 48.452966, "activity_lines": [ 13.13064, 10.964575, 10.307146, 11.042978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.2622, "volume": 62038, "typical_volume": 124595.6, "trend": 12.32032, "fair_value": 16.879769, "relative_strength": 63.780362, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.157404, "energy": 52.411899, "activity_lines": [ 14.77188, 12.114931, 10.851891, 11.32076 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.26, "volume": 152548, "typical_volume": 125748.6, "trend": 12.70332, "fair_value": 16.785281, "relative_strength": 70.748728, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.899668, "energy": 71.505353, "activity_lines": [ 16.51424, 13.503575, 11.574941, 11.703965 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }