{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6d6f6cd-b116-4f7d-84da-83e4b1e4bdd6", "symbol": "LFMD", "name": "LifeMD Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 63.92, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -23.688, "architecture_energy": 38.732, "architecture_maturity": 13.464, "architecture_confidence": 80.884, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.85, "rotation_up": 19.8, "upward_expansion": 24.53, "deceleration": 49.78, "rotation_down": 64.76, "downward_expansion": 47.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.724667, 4.056, 4.244762, 4.133419 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.56, "trend_reference": 3.926333, "distance_from_trend": -0.093302, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.2325, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.428801, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.425277, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.133758, "excess_performance": -0.053696, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.093302, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038529, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.428801, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.20305, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.304253, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080658, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.133758, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.850337, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9315197, "relative_activity": 1.868747, "balance": 0.850337, "dry_up": 1.014799, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.191856, "annualized_volatility": 0.743118, "from_high_reference": -0.513661, "from_low_reference": 0.390625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.926333, "fair_value_reference": 6.2325, "structural_low": 2.56, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.104925, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.214894, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.684138, "worst_return": -0.284839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.066667, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.138379, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 1.097643, "worst_return": -0.243028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.474903, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.508389, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.529412, "worst_return": -0.258503, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.257143, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.468734, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.508, "worst_return": -0.357602, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.214286, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.219828, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.071017, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.346221, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.03663, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.768737, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.015858, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.407858, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.003231, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.422697, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.440922, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.104603, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.151329, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.040431, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 3.77, "volume": 1747586, "typical_volume": 1390393.15, "trend": 2.586167, "fair_value": 5.815962, "relative_strength": 36.434387, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": 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4.303286, 4.064903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 4.87, "volume": 6376461, "typical_volume": 5531257.4, "trend": 3.857, "fair_value": 6.244872, "relative_strength": -17.032516, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.546742, "energy": 34.572346, "activity_lines": [ 4.627333, 4.578545, 4.387905, 4.133204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.64, "volume": 3396213, "typical_volume": 5520064.9, "trend": 3.898333, "fair_value": 6.248333, "relative_strength": -19.734618, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.761022, "energy": 29.287393, "activity_lines": [ 4.618, 4.587273, 4.440667, 4.18372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.15, "volume": 2612511, "typical_volume": 5455001.7, "trend": 3.929, "fair_value": 6.248397, "relative_strength": -22.688342, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.541976, "energy": 15.794099, "activity_lines": [ 4.462, 4.513455, 4.438095, 4.199957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.71, "volume": 4401425, "typical_volume": 5466115.8, "trend": 3.936, "fair_value": 6.242949, "relative_strength": -27.315712, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.514338, "energy": 6.484765, "activity_lines": [ 4.196, 4.371091, 4.386571, 4.185828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.5, "volume": 3904860, "typical_volume": 4934049.1, "trend": 3.936333, "fair_value": 6.237756, "relative_strength": -29.454129, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.844225, "energy": 25.945573, "activity_lines": [ 3.929333, 4.201818, 4.311667, 4.157699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.56, "volume": 9315197, "typical_volume": 4984729.6, "trend": 3.926333, "fair_value": 6.2325, "relative_strength": -30.425277, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.688461, "energy": 38.731978, "activity_lines": [ 3.724667, 4.056, 4.244762, 4.133419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }