{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6ddb430-8e7c-4a74-9c44-5a54dbafbc17", "symbol": "SLDB", "name": "Solid Biosciences LLC", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.085, "architecture_energy": 22.367, "architecture_maturity": 63.218, "architecture_confidence": 94.818, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.59, "rotation_up": 25.67, "upward_expansion": 56.85, "deceleration": 88.3, "rotation_down": 34.73, "downward_expansion": 20.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.369333, 8.726727, 8.283095, 7.965699 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.39, "trend_reference": 7.480667, "distance_from_trend": 0.121558, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.184135, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.356698, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.346566, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.28681, "excess_performance": 0.099356, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.121558, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.173193, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.356698, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133933, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.113466, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070364, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.28681, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.861818, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4335581, "relative_activity": 0.623759, "balance": 1.861818, "dry_up": 0.725338, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.155267, "annualized_volatility": 0.623763, "from_high_reference": -0.267249, "from_low_reference": 1.21372 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.480667, "fair_value_reference": 6.184135, "structural_low": 5.23, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.086441, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.129363, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.072727, "worst_return": -0.170732, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.041806, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.039666, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.049091, "worst_return": 0.034521, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.068435, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.166612, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.227273, "worst_return": -0.364143, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.632517, 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"2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.114407, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.14241, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.229091, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.22766, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.110733, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.090468, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", 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"trend": 7.290333, "fair_value": 6.127083, "relative_strength": 9.797994, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.11125, "energy": 53.683138, "activity_lines": [ 9.084, 8.788545, 8.225333, 7.85071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.06, "volume": 5269662, "typical_volume": 7108053.25, "trend": 7.377333, "fair_value": 6.154712, "relative_strength": 12.542864, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.915514, "energy": 24.675477, "activity_lines": [ 8.630667, 8.740727, 8.240286, 7.900366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.39, "volume": 4335581, "typical_volume": 6950731.55, "trend": 7.480667, "fair_value": 6.184135, "relative_strength": 11.346566, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.084984, "energy": 22.367452, "activity_lines": [ 8.369333, 8.726727, 8.283095, 7.965699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }