{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e6e808c1-c245-4055-9b12-ba732fe8b24c",
    "symbol": "TEG",
    "name": "Triangle Energy (Global) Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.087,
    "architecture_energy": 83.695,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.342,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.024,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.2,
        "rotation_up": 29.22,
        "upward_expansion": 21.9,
        "deceleration": 37.03,
        "rotation_down": 48.71,
        "downward_expansion": 90.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.001,
        0.001036,
        0.00149,
        0.001809
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.001,
    "trend_reference": 0.002167,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.538462,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.009048,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.889475,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -61.89276,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.6,
    "excess_performance": -0.663706,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.538462,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.212121,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.889475,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08279,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.618928,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.340945,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.6,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.809025,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.809025,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.269231,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.332988,
      "from_high_reference": -0.75,
      "from_low_reference": 0.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.002167,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.009048,
      "structural_low": 0.001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.342857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008145,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.75,
        "worst_return": -0.428571,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.384615,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.307692,
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        "best_return": 0.3125,
        "worst_return": -0.4,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.25,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.647059,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.5,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.420875,
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        "best_return": 0.454545,
        "worst_return": -0.666667,
        "sufficient": true
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.043478,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 5306823.25,
        "trend": 0.002367,
        "fair_value": 0.0094,
        "relative_strength": -61.546231,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.953377,
        "energy": 79.040352,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001,
          0.001264,
          0.00181,
          0.00206
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 5153850.15,
        "trend": 0.0023,
        "fair_value": 0.009285,
        "relative_strength": -60.848013,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.339924,
        "energy": 74.86067,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001,
          0.001164,
          0.001698,
          0.001972
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 4911996.5,
        "trend": 0.002233,
        "fair_value": 0.00917,
        "relative_strength": -61.286793,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.119683,
        "energy": 82.937279,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001,
          0.001082,
          0.00159,
          0.001888
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3693485.7,
        "trend": 0.002167,
        "fair_value": 0.009048,
        "relative_strength": -61.89276,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.086718,
        "energy": 83.694908,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.001,
          0.001036,
          0.00149,
          0.001809
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}