{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e6ee5fbc-8f6a-4461-96f7-5903937af0ea",
    "symbol": "WSC",
    "name": "UBS MSCI World Small Cap Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.475,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.641,
    "architecture_energy": 73.271,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.593,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.166,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.88,
        "rotation_up": 68.27,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 65.06,
        "rotation_down": 21.43,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        11.1151,
        10.933714
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 11.688,
    "trend_reference": 10.753733,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.086878,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.519429,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227805,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.278411,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.1041,
    "excess_performance": -0.066792,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086878,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039092,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.227805,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074329,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032784,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01696,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1041,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.819051,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12163,
      "relative_activity": 0.808941,
      "balance": 0.819051,
      "dry_up": 0.461851,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016848,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.12076,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000171,
      "from_low_reference": 0.253136
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.753733,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.519429,
      "structural_low": 9.728,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.010387,
        "positive_rate": 0.565217,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.565217,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003313,
        "regime_survival": 0.782609,
        "best_return": 0.04861,
        "worst_return": -0.1214,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010142,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.118367,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.086842,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.036421,
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        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 87.764621,
        "energy": 92.93041,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 19788.05,
        "trend": 10.555933,
        "fair_value": 9.42525,
        "relative_strength": -4.66958,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 95.428683,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 20003.2,
        "trend": 10.5958,
        "fair_value": 9.444224,
        "relative_strength": -4.87615,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.073014,
        "energy": 90.249582,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 11.326,
        "volume": 3731,
        "typical_volume": 19376.5,
        "trend": 10.636067,
        "fair_value": 9.462519,
        "relative_strength": -3.224786,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.675523,
        "energy": 89.394781,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.303333,
          11.167382,
          10.921614,
          10.788686
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.314,
        "volume": 3867,
        "typical_volume": 18519.15,
        "trend": 10.6752,
        "fair_value": 9.480058,
        "relative_strength": -3.083669,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.889516,
        "energy": 84.953938,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.320533,
          11.217891,
          10.9797,
          10.832424
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.272,
        "volume": 8016,
        "typical_volume": 15898.5,
        "trend": 10.7148,
        "fair_value": 9.497994,
        "relative_strength": -4.01372,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.350321,
        "energy": 64.222417,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.305867,
          11.247418,
          11.030233,
          10.870927
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.688,
        "volume": 12163,
        "typical_volume": 15035.7,
        "trend": 10.753733,
        "fair_value": 9.519429,
        "relative_strength": -3.278411,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.64077,
        "energy": 73.271455,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.428267,
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          11.1151,
          10.933714
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}