{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6ef6e77-b42e-4fb4-92f8-f5089a72096e", "symbol": "ARMG", "name": "LEVERAGE SHARES 2X LONG ARM DAILY ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 3.624, "architecture_energy": 20.019, "architecture_maturity": 58.477, "architecture_confidence": 77.427, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.3, "rotation_up": 15.25, "upward_expansion": 41.51, "deceleration": 86.28, "rotation_down": 44.61, "downward_expansion": 35.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.821733, 27.079673, 29.004781, 25.063744 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.3512, "trend_reference": 19.478313, "distance_from_trend": 0.147492, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.13391, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.581388, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 32.112162, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 2.202178, "excess_performance": 2.014724, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.147492, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.73188, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.581388, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055758, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.321122, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081688, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.202178, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.008855, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4794376, "relative_activity": 0.546526, "balance": 1.008855, "dry_up": 0.499435, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.664204, "annualized_volatility": 1.988496, "from_high_reference": -0.661088, "from_low_reference": 3.822265 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.478313, "fair_value_reference": 14.13391, "structural_low": 5.57, "invalidation": "A 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"volume": 3984244, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 21.4, "volume": 5374408, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.9, "volume": 2835793, "typical_volume": 8524187.95, "trend": 18.588273, "fair_value": 14.001242, "relative_strength": 26.153008, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.527019, "energy": 21.624629, "activity_lines": [ 25.171333, 33.046, 30.059282, 24.975852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.53, "volume": 4520505, "typical_volume": 8680001.0, "trend": 18.930607, "fair_value": 14.032462, "relative_strength": 3.762128, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.082621, "energy": 20.861008, "activity_lines": [ 21.407333, 29.374, 29.28, 24.84306 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.3512, "volume": 4794376, "typical_volume": 8772454.3, "trend": 19.478313, "fair_value": 14.13391, "relative_strength": 32.112162, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.623768, "energy": 20.019308, "activity_lines": [ 20.821733, 27.079673, 29.004781, 25.063744 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }