{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6f098f3-3766-4cf6-b670-590dcaea7800", "symbol": "688176", "name": "Jiangsu Yahong Meditech Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.439, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -2.329, "architecture_energy": 13.132, "architecture_maturity": 27.539, "architecture_confidence": 65.431, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.18, "rotation_up": 42.89, "upward_expansion": 32.17, "deceleration": 41.22, "rotation_down": 18.41, "downward_expansion": 47.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.406, 11.884364, 11.855238, 12.236667 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.81, "trend_reference": 12.616, "distance_from_trend": 0.015377, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.290833, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.378778, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.859728, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.007075, "excess_performance": 0.050279, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015377, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026637, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.378778, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001187, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.088597, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037688, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.007075, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.13981, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70650730, "relative_activity": 1.071028, "balance": 1.13981, "dry_up": 1.902671, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127485, "annualized_volatility": 0.700934, "from_high_reference": -0.292656, "from_low_reference": 0.396947 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.616, "fair_value_reference": 9.290833, "structural_low": 9.17, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.071466, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.042868, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.28481, "worst_return": -0.450549, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.094087, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.075442, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.250452, "worst_return": -0.438627, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.235142, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.250876, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.018987, "worst_return": -0.48927, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.371674, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.441352, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.371674, "worst_return": -0.371674, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.211332, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.017677, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.080685, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.211283, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", 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2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.886408, "energy": 32.106659, "activity_lines": [ 11.154, 11.067273, 11.87481, 12.256215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.03, "volume": 223552639, "typical_volume": 77163538.05, "trend": 12.522, "fair_value": 9.280833, "relative_strength": 15.610437, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.698238, "energy": 17.135392, "activity_lines": [ 11.914667, 11.374545, 11.914143, 12.295204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.58, "volume": 132829454, "typical_volume": 74800962.05, "trend": 12.562667, "fair_value": 9.282628, "relative_strength": 10.151816, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.456494, "energy": 24.675723, "activity_lines": [ 12.343333, 11.599091, 11.906429, 12.298946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.36, "volume": 75008401, "typical_volume": 67543130.4, "trend": 12.572667, "fair_value": 9.281538, "relative_strength": -0.893701, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.992562, "energy": 24.466074, "activity_lines": [ 12.205333, 11.600545, 11.802524, 12.221355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.81, "volume": 70650730, "typical_volume": 65965329.25, "trend": 12.616, "fair_value": 9.290833, "relative_strength": 8.859728, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.329492, "energy": 13.131813, "activity_lines": [ 12.406, 11.884364, 11.855238, 12.236667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }