{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e6fad22a-650f-4d1f-8ebf-42a6331e97cd", "symbol": "FAB", "name": "Fusion Antibodies plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.166, "architecture_energy": 58.836, "architecture_maturity": 26.913, "architecture_confidence": 88.837, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.7, "rotation_up": 13.68, "upward_expansion": 11.91, "deceleration": 40.38, "rotation_down": 66.78, "downward_expansion": 87.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.103567, 0.108564, 0.118076, 0.122857 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.105, "trend_reference": 0.129058, "distance_from_trend": -0.186414, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.081062, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.295297, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.516715, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.34375, "excess_performance": -0.394985, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.186414, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066767, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.295297, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.44772, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.295167, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.30807, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.34375, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.912371, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1250814, "relative_activity": 0.761529, "balance": 0.912371, "dry_up": 0.776092, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.171604, "annualized_volatility": 0.528293, "from_high_reference": -0.5, "from_low_reference": 0.105263 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.129058, "fair_value_reference": 0.081062, "structural_low": 0.095, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.025798, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.02954, "regime_survival": 0.861111, "best_return": 0.456522, "worst_return": -0.78169, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.132075, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.161269, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.306667, "worst_return": -0.761765, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.288778, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.325929, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.123288, "worst_return": -0.816176, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 0.132975, "fair_value": 0.080421, "relative_strength": -29.738335, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.469929, "energy": 63.461538, "activity_lines": [ 0.111333, 0.116955, 0.124738, 0.128363 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.1075, "volume": 1200711, "typical_volume": 1669724.15, "trend": 0.131808, "fair_value": 0.080686, "relative_strength": -27.638351, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.972212, "energy": 58.93754, "activity_lines": [ 0.108967, 0.114218, 0.122783, 0.126719 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0975, "volume": 1488212, "typical_volume": 1653812.85, "trend": 0.130558, "fair_value": 0.080838, "relative_strength": -34.880326, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.119474, "energy": 67.34255, "activity_lines": [ 0.104433, 0.110436, 0.120007, 0.124506 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.105, "volume": 1250814, "typical_volume": 1642503.75, "trend": 0.129058, "fair_value": 0.081062, "relative_strength": -29.516715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.165859, "energy": 58.836009, "activity_lines": [ 0.103567, 0.108564, 0.118076, 0.122857 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }