{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e70397f8-3170-4990-a006-7d081a6e22fc", "symbol": "EPI-A", "name": "Epiroc AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.851, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.442, "architecture_energy": 32.899, "architecture_maturity": 35.416, "architecture_confidence": 55.057, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.36, "rotation_up": 14.5, "upward_expansion": 17.76, "deceleration": 58.27, "rotation_down": 60.88, "downward_expansion": 42.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 246.853336, 252.321822, 257.532709, 255.467155 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 251.199997, "trend_reference": 252.513028, "distance_from_trend": -0.0052, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 208.703294, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.203623, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.908151, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.059802, "excess_performance": -0.121297, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0052, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076313, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.203623, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11591, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029082, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.146825, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.059802, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.121345, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6081847, "relative_activity": 0.959787, "balance": 1.121345, "dry_up": 1.225702, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058244, "annualized_volatility": 0.362069, "from_high_reference": -0.096078, "from_low_reference": 0.35588 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 252.513028, "fair_value_reference": 208.703294, "structural_low": 208.5993, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.002435, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.002941, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.120466, "worst_return": -0.106104, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.032904, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.014414, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.154236, "worst_return": -0.011657, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.032811, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.049856, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.002401, "worst_return": -0.067501, "sufficient": false }, { 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[ 249.406671, 257.150914, 258.807553, 255.886953 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 244.100006, "volume": 5740071, "typical_volume": 6572282.85, "trend": 251.493457, "fair_value": 208.341825, "relative_strength": -3.723351, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.904116, "energy": 30.978168, "activity_lines": [ 246.553339, 253.903641, 257.847771, 255.486088 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 251.199997, "volume": 6081847, "typical_volume": 6336666.35, "trend": 252.513028, "fair_value": 208.703294, "relative_strength": -2.908151, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.441532, "energy": 32.898577, "activity_lines": [ 246.853336, 252.321822, 257.532709, 255.467155 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }