{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e712a56a-b6a1-49c3-ac90-c642156e8d2c", "symbol": "VNET", "name": "VNET Group Inc DRC", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.651, "architecture_energy": 48.167, "architecture_maturity": 28.727, "architecture_confidence": 85.92, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.9, "rotation_up": 14.81, "upward_expansion": 7.99, "deceleration": 44.07, "rotation_down": 63.18, "downward_expansion": 83.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.316667, 7.606, 8.205714, 8.611344 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.33, "trend_reference": 9.267833, "distance_from_trend": -0.209092, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.849103, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.253184, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.810921, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.345536, "excess_performance": -0.532989, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.209092, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040481, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.253184, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.398012, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.308109, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148331, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.345536, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.412274, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15169058, "relative_activity": 0.495031, "balance": 1.412274, "dry_up": 0.595703, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.204061, "annualized_volatility": 0.658464, "from_high_reference": -0.493785, "from_low_reference": 0.188006 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.267833, "fair_value_reference": 5.849103, "structural_low": 6.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.057886, "positive_rate": 0.366667, "directional_follow_through": 0.633333, "median_excess_return": -0.046393, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.644161, "worst_return": -0.294005, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.06132, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.084561, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.757299, "worst_return": -0.495963, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.047936, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.165008, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.596715, "worst_return": -0.557244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.340606, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.644161, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.307506, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.155009, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.180649, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": 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7.92, "volume": 28908428, "typical_volume": 35574032.45, "trend": 9.569167, "fair_value": 5.701859, "relative_strength": -26.077872, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.700783, "energy": 55.026049, "activity_lines": [ 8.202, 8.693636, 8.897429, 9.274602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.01, "volume": 19346891, "typical_volume": 34782632.85, "trend": 9.530167, "fair_value": 5.735385, "relative_strength": -26.251498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.594193, "energy": 56.308395, "activity_lines": [ 8.07, 8.532182, 8.783, 9.174011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.39, "volume": 12753784, "typical_volume": 33380519.35, "trend": 9.484833, "fair_value": 5.76609, "relative_strength": -28.502972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.932919, "energy": 61.151157, "activity_lines": [ 7.786667, 8.264, 8.62781, 9.035935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.21, "volume": 13898813, "typical_volume": 32268970.95, "trend": 9.4355, "fair_value": 5.793205, "relative_strength": -28.734781, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.192691, "energy": 56.370898, "activity_lines": [ 7.542, 7.990545, 8.471619, 8.889172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.17, "volume": 31194033, "typical_volume": 32045045.45, "trend": 9.370833, "fair_value": 5.820897, "relative_strength": -29.227433, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.412348, "energy": 51.950051, "activity_lines": [ 7.386667, 7.762182, 8.323095, 8.743011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.33, "volume": 15169058, "typical_volume": 30642666.65, "trend": 9.267833, "fair_value": 5.849103, "relative_strength": -30.810921, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.65058, "energy": 48.166917, "activity_lines": [ 7.316667, 7.606, 8.205714, 8.611344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }