{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e71db799-f3f6-482b-a072-fa9c980a245d", "symbol": "FTK", "name": "Flotek Industries Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.722, "architecture_energy": 70.99, "architecture_maturity": 42.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.474, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.13, "rotation_up": 75.28, "upward_expansion": 85.27, "deceleration": 51.04, "rotation_down": 11.71, "downward_expansion": 11.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.445333, 26.358182, 23.617905, 21.808129 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 35.42, "trend_reference": 19.826333, "distance_from_trend": 0.786513, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.180758, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.479112, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 79.907002, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.043855, "excess_performance": 0.91823, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.786513, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.18178, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.479112, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.614076, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.79907, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.866414, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.043855, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.705799, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4391646, "relative_activity": 2.856785, "balance": 2.705799, "dry_up": 1.575967, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125114, "annualized_volatility": 0.786145, "from_high_reference": -0.056222, "from_low_reference": 2.234703 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.826333, "fair_value_reference": 10.180758, "structural_low": 14.63, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.021036, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.002984, "regime_survival": 0.681818, "best_return": 0.621032, "worst_return": -0.126984, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.153467, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.098383, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.951318, "worst_return": -0.235714, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.287094, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.170701, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.737923, "worst_return": -0.327769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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19.023, "fair_value": 9.866159, "relative_strength": 41.281054, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.207743, "energy": 53.69851, "activity_lines": [ 25.14, 24.162545, 21.846381, 20.472796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.54, "volume": 1771600, "typical_volume": 1390501.0, "trend": 19.239333, "fair_value": 9.984941, "relative_strength": 26.039827, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.09528, "energy": 47.090821, "activity_lines": [ 24.858667, 24.213273, 22.180381, 20.764215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.42, "volume": 4391646, "typical_volume": 1537268.4, "trend": 19.826333, "fair_value": 10.180758, "relative_strength": 79.907002, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.721897, "energy": 70.989938, "activity_lines": [ 28.445333, 26.358182, 23.617905, 21.808129 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }