{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e7355431-5640-4845-87fd-2cd4b7698402", "symbol": "002816", "name": "Shenzhen HEKEDA Precision Cleaning Equipment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 28.144, "architecture_energy": 25.755, "architecture_maturity": 84.747, "architecture_confidence": 93.807, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.03, "rotation_up": 27.27, "upward_expansion": 53.45, "deceleration": 85.43, "rotation_down": 42.94, "downward_expansion": 26.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.287999, 26.271818, 26.077142, 25.592473 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 26.969999, "trend_reference": 25.162333, "distance_from_trend": 0.07184, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.245128, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.66019, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.98515, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.080529, "excess_performance": 0.073129, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.07184, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069206, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.66019, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009109, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.139852, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.167547, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080529, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.290021, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9601802, "relative_activity": 0.789248, "balance": 1.290021, "dry_up": 0.966199, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101937, "annualized_volatility": 0.48756, "from_high_reference": -0.1004, "from_low_reference": 0.673077 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.162333, "fair_value_reference": 16.245128, "structural_low": 20.209999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.074842, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.029834, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.3548, "worst_return": -0.350226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.155764, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.153681, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.179528, "worst_return": -0.242958, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.10989, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.120962, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.166061, "worst_return": -0.34347, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.8006, "energy": 7.31652, "activity_lines": [ 25.924666, 26.582545, 25.99619, 25.505355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.299999, "volume": 10622000, "typical_volume": 12351468.45, "trend": 25.012333, "fair_value": 16.133974, "relative_strength": 8.624321, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.796651, "energy": 20.146, "activity_lines": [ 25.029333, 26.163818, 25.910571, 25.466172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.969999, "volume": 9601802, "typical_volume": 12165754.25, "trend": 25.162333, "fair_value": 16.245128, "relative_strength": 13.98515, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.143978, "energy": 25.754545, "activity_lines": [ 25.287999, 26.271818, 26.077142, 25.592473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }