{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e74220b9-ad45-43d2-b784-4a98e023565b",
    "symbol": "FRE",
    "name": "Firebrick Pharma Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -74.213,
    "architecture_energy": 89.655,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.809,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.68,
        "rotation_up": 15.56,
        "upward_expansion": 21.77,
        "deceleration": 37.08,
        "rotation_down": 74.9,
        "downward_expansion": 97.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.027067,
        0.03,
        0.036548,
        0.041738
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.026,
    "trend_reference": 0.048367,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.46244,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.065452,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.602762,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -55.065035,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.617647,
    "excess_performance": -0.681353,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.46244,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.149971,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.602762,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.275427,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.55065,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.36855,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.617647,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 140400,
      "relative_activity": 0.182156,
      "balance": 0.0,
      "dry_up": 0.815098,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.168639,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.665636,
      "from_high_reference": -0.679012,
      "from_low_reference": 0.083333
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.048367,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.065452,
      "structural_low": 0.024,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.009804,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033611,
        "regime_survival": 0.85,
        "best_return": 0.552632,
        "worst_return": -0.294118,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.019231,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019418,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.672727,
        "worst_return": -0.438596,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.131636,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.071342,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.515152,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.192239,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.085547,
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        "worst_return": -0.054545,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "return": 0.3,
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 731798.95,
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          0.032,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 744847.35,
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        "relative_strength": -50.742742,
        "stage": 4,
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          0.030267,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.026,
        "volume": 715088,
        "typical_volume": 767918.5,
        "trend": 0.0497,
        "fair_value": 0.066952,
        "relative_strength": -54.446064,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.482016,
        "energy": 92.688994,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.028467,
          0.031509,
          0.038286,
          0.043267
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.026,
        "volume": 140400,
        "typical_volume": 770766.95,
        "trend": 0.048367,
        "fair_value": 0.065452,
        "relative_strength": -55.065035,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -74.212703,
        "energy": 89.654646,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.027067,
          0.03,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}