{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e746c46c-455b-4cc7-97fb-b4f49d28f998",
    "symbol": "MALT",
    "name": "Malteries Franco-Belges Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Anonyme",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -72.324,
    "architecture_energy": 66.023,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.578,
    "architecture_confidence": 94.886,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.66,
        "rotation_up": 23.7,
        "upward_expansion": 12.43,
        "deceleration": 46.08,
        "rotation_down": 62.48,
        "downward_expansion": 88.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 830.0,
    "trend_reference": 878.5,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.055208,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 759.812299,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.092375,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.904974,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.102703,
    "excess_performance": -0.156014,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055208,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017565,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092375,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073273,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.11905,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071426,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.102703,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.54902,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 38,
      "relative_activity": 0.693431,
      "balance": 0.54902,
      "dry_up": 0.729927,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016219,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.159683,
      "from_high_reference": -0.161616,
      "from_low_reference": 0.012195
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 878.5,
      "fair_value_reference": 759.812299,
      "structural_low": 820.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
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        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.619048,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008953,
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        "worst_return": -0.141791,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 753.143862,
        "relative_strength": -8.471835,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 71.826704,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 21,
        "typical_volume": 66.65,
        "trend": 887.240114,
        "fair_value": 754.835131,
        "relative_strength": -7.759665,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.750759,
        "energy": 67.584003,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 835.0,
        "volume": 69,
        "typical_volume": 58.65,
        "trend": 884.702334,
        "fair_value": 756.494348,
        "relative_strength": -8.438975,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.17268,
        "energy": 62.169358,
        "activity_lines": [
          839.666667,
          843.181818,
          852.238095,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 835.0,
        "volume": 32,
        "typical_volume": 55.9,
        "trend": 881.666667,
        "fair_value": 758.153565,
        "relative_strength": -9.55577,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.791969,
        "energy": 71.074241,
        "activity_lines": [
          837.333333,
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          849.47619,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 830.0,
        "volume": 38,
        "typical_volume": 54.8,
        "trend": 878.5,
        "fair_value": 759.812299,
        "relative_strength": -11.904974,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.323585,
        "energy": 66.022813,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}