{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e761596b-5b16-4538-9fcf-17dc475683fe", "symbol": "244670", "name": "KODEX Value PLUS", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 49.21, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.283, "architecture_energy": 35.413, "architecture_maturity": 11.171, "architecture_confidence": 91.648, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.48, "rotation_up": 19.27, "upward_expansion": 4.2, "deceleration": 54.72, "rotation_down": 49.29, "downward_expansion": 75.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 11271.510742, 11302.164684, 11715.548805, 11880.002629 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 11570.0, "trend_reference": 11942.078255, "distance_from_trend": -0.031157, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9111.325014, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.269848, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.880709, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.004142, "excess_performance": -0.233971, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.031157, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032521, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.269848, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.231418, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.158807, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171731, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.004142, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.16353, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4380, "relative_activity": 0.505295, "balance": 0.16353, "dry_up": 0.529637, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068248, "annualized_volatility": 0.316223, "from_high_reference": -0.143914, "from_low_reference": 0.254661 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11942.078255, "fair_value_reference": 9111.325014, 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"relative_strength": -28.546514, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.310178, "energy": 54.857028, "activity_lines": [ 11260.335612, 11507.864258, 11951.503237, 12001.713399 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11130.62793, "volume": 4394, "typical_volume": 9886.55, "trend": 11868.028581, "fair_value": 9065.449062, "relative_strength": -25.963754, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.622067, "energy": 34.247086, "activity_lines": [ 11211.911589, 11385.623881, 11859.855278, 11955.664787 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11020.0, "volume": 4904, "typical_volume": 9018.8, "trend": 11894.734863, "fair_value": 9087.042155, "relative_strength": -24.758163, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.567184, "energy": 32.870157, "activity_lines": [ 11163.236393, 11279.348828, 11759.94541, 11900.953266 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11570.0, "volume": 4380, "typical_volume": 8668.2, "trend": 11942.078255, "fair_value": 9111.325014, "relative_strength": -15.880709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.283276, "energy": 35.412785, "activity_lines": [ 11271.510742, 11302.164684, 11715.548805, 11880.002629 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }