{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e7647261-96a4-42c5-8e88-60ebfff9e4c4",
    "symbol": "ALAUD",
    "name": "Audacia SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 61.934,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 4.98,
    "architecture_energy": 11.895,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.664,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.021,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 64.49,
        "rotation_up": 16.93,
        "upward_expansion": 20.26,
        "deceleration": 71.8,
        "rotation_down": 37.37,
        "downward_expansion": 29.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.249333,
        4.323636,
        4.221762,
        4.154438
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 4.16,
    "trend_reference": 4.160795,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.000191,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.999704,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.040077,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.869384,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.019608,
    "excess_performance": -0.033704,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000191,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023241,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040077,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112238,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058694,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005036,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019608,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.858261,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 19296,
      "relative_activity": 1.628073,
      "balance": 0.858261,
      "dry_up": 0.959032,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058987,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.323267,
      "from_high_reference": -0.355039,
      "from_low_reference": 0.291925
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.160795,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.999704,
      "structural_low": 3.6,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.039216,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02753,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.315789,
        "worst_return": -0.103774,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.294258,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.285045,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.657143,
        "worst_return": -0.068627,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.114286,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.13822,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.114286,
        "worst_return": 0.114286,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.120219,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.073171,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.218274,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.190789,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02809,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.137143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02451,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.063452,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.114407,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 5.42,
        "volume": 677,
        "typical_volume": 2053.15,
        "trend": 5.43,
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        "relative_strength": -6.126505,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
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      },
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 21416.65,
        "trend": 4.234462,
        "fair_value": 4.095538,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 21205.0,
        "trend": 4.238129,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.326958,
        "energy": 45.103645,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 10776,
        "typical_volume": 21283.45,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "energy": 53.742103,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 24187.05,
        "trend": 4.259795,
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        "relative_strength": 4.638851,
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        "energy": 18.898568,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 13141,
        "typical_volume": 23843.15,
        "trend": 4.278795,
        "fair_value": 4.059063,
        "relative_strength": 2.239691,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 4.291462,
        "fair_value": 4.050986,
        "relative_strength": 0.231642,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 20.595615,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.116667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 48.49677,
        "energy": 50.070181,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 4.55,
        "volume": 1124,
        "typical_volume": 16149.85,
        "trend": 4.340462,
        "fair_value": 4.041691,
        "relative_strength": 7.98168,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.624073,
        "energy": 68.10452,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.08019,
          4.152918
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 5808,
        "typical_volume": 15049.45,
        "trend": 4.359129,
        "fair_value": 4.035025,
        "relative_strength": 2.318844,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.043043,
        "energy": 62.538988,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.454,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 12262,
        "typical_volume": 13396.8,
        "trend": 4.337795,
        "fair_value": 4.028999,
        "relative_strength": 3.616792,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.107445,
        "energy": 56.393521,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.439333,
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          4.146381,
          4.155525
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 4.39,
        "volume": 3410,
        "typical_volume": 13286.2,
        "trend": 4.290795,
        "fair_value": 4.022909,
        "relative_strength": 4.048757,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.555261,
        "energy": 34.946855,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.423333,
          4.365455,
          4.178619,
          4.158893
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.36,
        "volume": 8215,
        "typical_volume": 11467.1,
        "trend": 4.259462,
        "fair_value": 4.017012,
        "relative_strength": 2.685487,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.331053,
        "energy": 21.46811,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.383333,
          4.383818,
          4.205762,
          4.163358
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.18,
        "volume": 14545,
        "typical_volume": 11114.15,
        "trend": 4.218795,
        "fair_value": 4.007781,
        "relative_strength": -3.155912,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.151699,
        "energy": 12.337162,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.307333,
          4.359455,
          4.21519,
          4.158232
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.16,
        "volume": 19296,
        "typical_volume": 11852.05,
        "trend": 4.160795,
        "fair_value": 3.999704,
        "relative_strength": -5.869384,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 4.980161,
        "energy": 11.895101,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.249333,
          4.323636,
          4.221762,
          4.154438
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}