{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e765bc6e-2b92-4225-9cca-e815c1f8366e", "symbol": "CURB", "name": "Curbline Properties Corp.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.404, "architecture_energy": 38.22, "architecture_maturity": 73.745, "architecture_confidence": 52.793, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.65, "rotation_up": 41.14, "upward_expansion": 68.64, "deceleration": 67.89, "rotation_down": 24.95, "downward_expansion": 11.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.602, 30.67225, 29.88324, 29.051863 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 29.62, "trend_reference": 27.863948, "distance_from_trend": 0.063022, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.113205, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.228373, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.360352, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.186451, "excess_performance": 0.060826, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063022, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100845, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.228373, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033604, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009411, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.186451, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.884372, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6234285, "relative_activity": 1.238756, "balance": 0.884372, "dry_up": 1.324776, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049981, "annualized_volatility": 0.215976, "from_high_reference": -0.078694, "from_low_reference": 0.399439 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.863948, "fair_value_reference": 24.113205, "structural_low": 24.678703, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.059612, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.056353, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.060381, "worst_return": 0.007829, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.129526, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.091885, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.129526, "worst_return": 0.129526, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.679119, "energy": 58.790681, "activity_lines": [ 31.195333, 30.760395, 29.607354, 28.715177 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.64, "volume": 6066204, "typical_volume": 4956125.25, "trend": 27.6505, "fair_value": 24.056434, "relative_strength": 10.9176, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.528644, "energy": 51.209899, "activity_lines": [ 31.034667, 30.831598, 29.804439, 28.924798 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.62, "volume": 6234285, "typical_volume": 5032697.15, "trend": 27.863948, "fair_value": 24.113205, "relative_strength": 3.360352, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.403724, "energy": 38.219815, "activity_lines": [ 30.602, 30.67225, 29.88324, 29.051863 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }