{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e76eac0e-277d-4aeb-a1bf-a6c507977f5e", "symbol": "000559", "name": "Wanxiang Qianchao Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.95, "architecture_energy": 79.904, "architecture_maturity": 29.925, "architecture_confidence": 90.236, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.73, "rotation_up": 11.9, "upward_expansion": 19.66, "deceleration": 37.7, "rotation_down": 68.9, "downward_expansion": 90.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.188667, 11.854909, 13.390342, 14.340416 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.77, "trend_reference": 15.673777, "distance_from_trend": -0.249064, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.253063, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.426137, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.010292, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.309291, "excess_performance": -0.31669, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.249064, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007162, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.426137, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.893779, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.160103, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.351047, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.309291, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.859918, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 228931313, "relative_activity": 0.730714, "balance": 0.859918, "dry_up": 0.623869, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.134127, "annualized_volatility": 0.643635, "from_high_reference": -0.454086, "from_low_reference": 0.608233 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.673777, "fair_value_reference": 8.253063, "structural_low": 10.04, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.019157, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.019457, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.148492, "worst_return": -0.063462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.036735, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.065996, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.165919, "worst_return": -0.015094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.007039, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.044366, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.384787, "worst_return": -0.058008, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.395597, "energy": 81.171791, "activity_lines": [ 12.163333, 13.147409, 14.470946, 15.269936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.32, "volume": 182350973, "typical_volume": 328484690.7, "trend": 15.923472, "fair_value": 8.171784, "relative_strength": -23.073366, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.214053, "energy": 84.630548, "activity_lines": [ 11.392667, 12.448364, 14.003634, 14.906348 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.23, "volume": 186644027, "typical_volume": 315162769.15, "trend": 15.84847, "fair_value": 8.210243, "relative_strength": -15.309793, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.601738, "energy": 82.79513, "activity_lines": [ 11.154, 12.041818, 13.658099, 14.603543 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.77, "volume": 228931313, "typical_volume": 313298003.95, "trend": 15.673777, "fair_value": 8.253063, "relative_strength": -16.010292, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.950252, "energy": 79.904394, "activity_lines": [ 11.188667, 11.854909, 13.390342, 14.340416 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }