{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e7757e6b-5e3e-49e5-b951-afd7ad6bb5d1", "symbol": "DRVN", "name": "Driven Brands Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 67.411, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 2.886, "architecture_energy": 5.259, "architecture_maturity": 28.231, "architecture_confidence": 38.474, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.91, "rotation_up": 29.38, "upward_expansion": 34.4, "deceleration": 61.11, "rotation_down": 32.84, "downward_expansion": 20.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.033333, 14.121455, 13.844571, 13.604796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 13.33, "trend_reference": 13.720333, "distance_from_trend": -0.028449, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.631795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.08897, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -20.347029, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.21864, "excess_performance": -0.406094, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.028449, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016487, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.08897, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04714, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.20347, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080094, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.21864, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.621497, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4478997, "relative_activity": 0.666837, "balance": 1.621497, "dry_up": 0.513216, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11123, "annualized_volatility": 0.759996, "from_high_reference": -0.324721, "from_low_reference": 0.360204 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.720333, "fair_value_reference": 14.631795, "structural_low": 9.8, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.007582, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.085789, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.045389, "worst_return": -0.385986, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.139903, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.327945, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.20932, "worst_return": -0.228029, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.222611, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.366425, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.189349, "worst_return": -0.634572, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.198877, "energy": 54.422191, "activity_lines": [ 14.822, 14.240727, 13.69919, 13.621677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.61, "volume": 3413884, "typical_volume": 7434809.35, "trend": 13.813, "fair_value": 14.655, "relative_strength": -15.471468, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.560317, "energy": 44.283754, "activity_lines": [ 14.562667, 14.188364, 13.751762, 13.605978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.27, "volume": 2658216, "typical_volume": 7087992.8, "trend": 13.805333, "fair_value": 14.643333, "relative_strength": -11.164235, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.049765, "energy": 34.652255, "activity_lines": [ 14.461333, 14.244909, 13.852286, 13.635462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.33, "volume": 4478997, "typical_volume": 6716778.4, "trend": 13.720333, "fair_value": 14.631795, "relative_strength": -20.347029, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.886206, "energy": 5.25938, "activity_lines": [ 14.033333, 14.121455, 13.844571, 13.604796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }