{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e77ac35a-10c1-4702-8599-6d7004bdb57c",
    "symbol": "NOEJ",
    "name": "NORMA Group SE",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.023,
    "architecture_energy": 85.083,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.595,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.591,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.98,
        "rotation_up": 78.17,
        "upward_expansion": 97.78,
        "deceleration": 39.46,
        "rotation_down": 13.93,
        "downward_expansion": 19.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.554667,
        18.150482,
        17.528557,
        16.990406
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 18.940001,
    "trend_reference": 16.36374,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.157437,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.082699,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.255744,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.013129,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.186717,
    "excess_performance": 0.01247,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157437,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086512,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.255744,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125149,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020131,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021193,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186717,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.027027,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 2.027027,
      "dry_up": 0.08715,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04218,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.39079,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007337,
      "from_low_reference": 0.507962
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.36374,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.082699,
      "structural_low": 13.98,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.010083,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033088,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.270244,
        "worst_return": -0.228198,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.24228,
        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 16.883684,
        "volume": 1210,
        "typical_volume": 374.9,
        "trend": 14.788241,
        "fair_value": 14.933458,
        "relative_strength": -4.132446,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.540711,
        "energy": 23.029698,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.412841,
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          15.098136
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 17.558239,
        "volume": 592,
        "typical_volume": 404.5,
        "trend": 14.870182,
        "fair_value": 14.931189,
        "relative_strength": -0.135607,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.603878,
        "energy": 56.056021,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.166438,
          15.745526,
          15.532565,
          15.276846
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 17.35984,
        "volume": 592,
        "typical_volume": 434.1,
        "trend": 14.948844,
        "fair_value": 14.936678,
        "relative_strength": -3.451673,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.299976,
        "energy": 68.219869,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.73802,
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          15.437469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 296,
        "typical_volume": 448.9,
        "trend": 15.060801,
        "fair_value": 14.942753,
        "relative_strength": -5.332892,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.995762,
        "energy": 74.926833,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.186572,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 16.923363,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 446.05,
        "trend": 15.19958,
        "fair_value": 14.948049,
        "relative_strength": -7.322009,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.864285,
        "energy": 71.997898,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.246091,
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          15.722142
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 16.824163,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 407.8,
        "trend": 15.319052,
        "fair_value": 14.951012,
        "relative_strength": -10.229551,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.056189,
        "energy": 60.943932,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.105889,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 17.617758,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 382.8,
        "trend": 15.480977,
        "fair_value": 14.958881,
        "relative_strength": -9.647606,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.794501,
        "energy": 49.082402,
        "activity_lines": [
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          15.975258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 16.982885,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 332.8,
        "trend": 15.60174,
        "fair_value": 14.965043,
        "relative_strength": -11.003099,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.645428,
        "energy": 38.340409,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.146893,
          17.045602,
          16.40262,
          16.072155
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 17.540001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 307.8,
        "trend": 15.71974,
        "fair_value": 14.977927,
        "relative_strength": -9.990206,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.80269,
        "energy": 43.986438,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.270434,
          17.205381,
          16.548181,
          16.197204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 17.9,
        "volume": 226,
        "typical_volume": 242.4,
        "trend": 15.838407,
        "fair_value": 14.995845,
        "relative_strength": -6.483411,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.776697,
        "energy": 60.234997,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.511223,
          17.376068,
          16.721551,
          16.337866
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 18.66,
        "volume": 83,
        "typical_volume": 246.55,
        "trend": 15.98174,
        "fair_value": 15.016333,
        "relative_strength": -0.335024,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.375513,
        "energy": 77.41606,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.940235,
          17.621729,
          16.954541,
          16.519904
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.32,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 246.55,
        "trend": 16.10974,
        "fair_value": 15.036035,
        "relative_strength": -3.17061,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.92202,
        "energy": 76.709175,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.133526,
          17.773275,
          17.141911,
          16.67076
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.360001,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 246.7,
        "trend": 16.23574,
        "fair_value": 15.057508,
        "relative_strength": -2.607234,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.451876,
        "energy": 73.423969,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.293334,
          17.918244,
          17.316329,
          16.815938
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.940001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 246.7,
        "trend": 16.36374,
        "fair_value": 15.082699,
        "relative_strength": -2.013129,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.022502,
        "energy": 85.083422,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.554667,
          18.150482,
          17.528557,
          16.990406
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}