{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e77f4606-c2c6-4f6c-92b9-84fe0c7912fd", "symbol": "WGS", "name": "GeneDx Holdings Corp.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 15.804, "architecture_energy": 22.38, "architecture_maturity": 16.934, "architecture_confidence": 43.722, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.4, "rotation_up": 39.65, "upward_expansion": 38.54, "deceleration": 28.72, "rotation_down": 19.58, "downward_expansion": 46.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.716, 66.067273, 61.650952, 63.467957 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 77.08, "trend_reference": 69.337, "distance_from_trend": 0.111672, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 60.625417, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.271414, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.652402, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.085538, "excess_performance": -0.272992, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.111672, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.276458, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.271414, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.545666, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.316524, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.34988, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.085538, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.777156, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7288177, "relative_activity": 1.329511, "balance": 1.777156, "dry_up": 0.809699, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120721, "annualized_volatility": 0.986132, "from_high_reference": -0.548897, "from_low_reference": 1.393046 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.337, "fair_value_reference": 60.625417, "structural_low": 32.21, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.246571, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.188674, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.558642, "worst_return": 0.109049, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 1.376477, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.294215, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.975309, "worst_return": 0.777646, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 5.093386, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 4.901375, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 8.824074, "worst_return": 1.362699, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 10.066913, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 9.712405, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 20.444444, "worst_return": -0.310619, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-03-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 1.184615, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 7.013111, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.155056, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.098184, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.359701, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.109049, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.20194, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.053977, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.132049, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.042511, 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"trend": 76.009667, "fair_value": 59.460417, "relative_strength": -43.025985, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.221131, "energy": 17.349097, "activity_lines": [ 65.409333, 61.967636, 59.814143, 64.727312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.1, "volume": 2782988, "typical_volume": 5257297.25, "trend": 73.52, "fair_value": 59.793494, "relative_strength": -45.737801, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.246724, "energy": 11.33106, "activity_lines": [ 63.412, 62.210545, 59.552619, 63.636366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 65.11, "volume": 4079529, "typical_volume": 5291507.2, "trend": 71.280333, "fair_value": 60.165096, "relative_strength": -39.896812, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.308875, "energy": 6.062149, "activity_lines": [ 63.412, 63.212545, 60.001619, 63.093785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 77.08, "volume": 7288177, "typical_volume": 5481848.85, "trend": 69.337, "fair_value": 60.625417, "relative_strength": -31.652402, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 15.803525, "energy": 22.38025, "activity_lines": [ 67.716, 66.067273, 61.650952, 63.467957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }