{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e78898cd-e536-4b57-8c62-96531f79f892", "symbol": "CEG", "name": "Constellation Energy Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -36.42, "architecture_energy": 19.041, "architecture_maturity": 99.517, "architecture_confidence": 78.122, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.49, "rotation_up": 26.8, "upward_expansion": 18.71, "deceleration": 46.26, "rotation_down": 27.36, "downward_expansion": 57.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 4649.173307, 4574.28544, 4693.593231, 4833.392354 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4615.0, "trend_reference": 4967.898584, "distance_from_trend": -0.071036, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4441.896844, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.038971, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.630645, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.025952, "excess_performance": 0.080619, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.071036, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114759, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.038971, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.219059, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.196306, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005885, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.025952, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.317655, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14638, "relative_activity": 2.734286, "balance": 0.317655, "dry_up": 1.06902, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082556, "annualized_volatility": 0.470408, "from_high_reference": -0.389897, "from_low_reference": 0.101958 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4967.898584, "fair_value_reference": 4441.896844, 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"relative_strength": -25.483788, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.229055, "energy": 49.745123, "activity_lines": [ 4433.4, 4549.364107, 4810.235107, 4952.015607 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4422.0, "volume": 1179, "typical_volume": 5245.05, "trend": 5133.440495, "fair_value": 4383.675866, "relative_strength": -24.602413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.896099, "energy": 48.554412, "activity_lines": [ 4418.266667, 4503.00728, 4752.07606, 4901.78516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4791.0, "volume": 5241, "typical_volume": 5478.5, "trend": 5078.249121, "fair_value": 4404.075559, "relative_strength": -17.392524, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.402921, "energy": 40.792658, "activity_lines": [ 4521.666667, 4539.041824, 4734.990962, 4879.692225 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4761.399902, "volume": 1834, "typical_volume": 4748.05, "trend": 5015.798779, "fair_value": 4423.456335, "relative_strength": -17.789788, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.100478, "energy": 25.083786, "activity_lines": [ 4615.799967, 4566.949077, 4719.696589, 4859.25034 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4615.0, "volume": 14638, "typical_volume": 5353.5, "trend": 4967.898584, "fair_value": 4441.896844, "relative_strength": -19.630645, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.420472, "energy": 19.041053, "activity_lines": [ 4649.173307, 4574.28544, 4693.593231, 4833.392354 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }