{ "ticker": { "uuid": "e78d575a-337a-4d40-a307-73fccb213f79", "symbol": "EEFT", "name": "Euronet Worldwide Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 74.047, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.794, "architecture_energy": 30.794, "architecture_maturity": 5.724, "architecture_confidence": 64.897, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.32, "rotation_up": 53.04, "upward_expansion": 75.94, "deceleration": 57.51, "rotation_down": 19.42, "downward_expansion": 4.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 74.908, 74.464909, 72.477143, 71.68871 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 72.08, "trend_reference": 71.310667, "distance_from_trend": 0.010788, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 91.942821, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.216034, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.53813, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.03919, "excess_performance": -0.226643, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.010788, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008518, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.216034, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059386, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.175381, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150345, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.03919, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.898114, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3775068, "relative_activity": 1.104671, "balance": 0.898114, "dry_up": 1.066659, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0936, "annualized_volatility": 0.413573, "from_high_reference": -0.268372, "from_low_reference": 0.15328 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.310667, "fair_value_reference": 91.942821, "structural_low": 62.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.038324, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.024458, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.063732, "worst_return": -0.276801, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.108061, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.16126, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.070083, "worst_return": -0.210249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.256828, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.475477, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.067657, "worst_return": -0.315755, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.039481, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.01097, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.003602, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.051441, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.056281, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", 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"relative_strength": -6.018104, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.607597, "energy": 71.857704, "activity_lines": [ 78.571333, 74.791636, 72.308952, 71.657677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 71.33, "volume": 5388122, "typical_volume": 3383606.05, "trend": 71.418333, "fair_value": 92.02391, "relative_strength": -15.055822, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.814668, "energy": 57.48474, "activity_lines": [ 76.644667, 74.606727, 72.35781, 71.646022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 72.08, "volume": 3775068, "typical_volume": 3417368.3, "trend": 71.310667, "fair_value": 91.942821, "relative_strength": -17.53813, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.794227, "energy": 30.794353, "activity_lines": [ 74.908, 74.464909, 72.477143, 71.68871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }