{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "e7974ffe-28d9-49f5-9313-ae26bc5fe964",
    "symbol": "CEUD",
    "name": "iShares VII PLC -iShares Core MSCI EMU UCITS ETF EUR (Dist)",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.293,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.873,
    "architecture_energy": 62.005,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.027,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.86,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.29,
        "rotation_up": 53.84,
        "upward_expansion": 81.13,
        "deceleration": 66.77,
        "rotation_down": 27.02,
        "downward_expansion": 10.13
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        8.684838,
        8.522218
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 9.075,
    "trend_reference": 8.353429,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.08638,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.979535,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30023,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.007904,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.110118,
    "excess_performance": -0.060774,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08638,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043244,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30023,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071033,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030079,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026597,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110118,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.864705,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 99838,
      "relative_activity": 0.283618,
      "balance": 0.864705,
      "dry_up": 0.435753,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021835,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.169916,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002966,
      "from_low_reference": 0.263323
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.353429,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.979535,
      "structural_low": 7.4,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.016514,
        "positive_rate": 0.634146,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.634146,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006168,
        "regime_survival": 0.780488,
        "best_return": 0.072952,
        "worst_return": -0.097189,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.014791,
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        "worst_return": -0.101872,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030175,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.166709,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.118563,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "energy": 66.133454,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 436814.7,
        "trend": 8.292689,
        "fair_value": 6.937345,
        "relative_strength": -2.784755,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 62.033071,
        "energy": 55.855253,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.841,
        "volume": 122368,
        "typical_volume": 386103.95,
        "trend": 8.322195,
        "fair_value": 6.957615,
        "relative_strength": -2.825167,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.485952,
        "energy": 50.414431,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.075,
        "volume": 99838,
        "typical_volume": 352015.7,
        "trend": 8.353429,
        "fair_value": 6.979535,
        "relative_strength": -3.007904,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.873327,
        "energy": 62.004827,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}